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On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules
International Monetary Fund - 2004
Fiscal rules are being increasingly used by both emerging and developed economies. This paper analyzes two alternative fiscal policy rules in terms of their impact on debt sustainability: a rule that fixes the ratio of primary surplus to GDP (""fixed surplus rule"") and one that sets the primary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404172
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Fat Tails and their (Un)Happy Endings; Correlation Bias and its Implications for Systemic Risk and Prudential Regulation
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2011
The correlation bias refers to the fact that claim subordination in the capital structure of the firm influences claim … holders’ preferred degree of asset correlation in portfolios held by the firm. Using the copula capital structure model, it … is shown that the correlation bias shifts shareholder preferences towards highly correlated assets, making financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019569
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On the Estimation of Term Structure Models and An Application to the United States
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2010
This paper discusses the estimation of models of the term structure of interest rates. After reviewing the term structure models, specifically the Nelson-Siegel Model and Affine Term- Structure Model, this paper estimates the terms structure of Treasury bond yields for the United States with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727797
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Fat Tails and their (Un)Happy Endings : Correlation Bias and its Implications for Systemic Risk and Prudential Regulation
International Monetary Fund - 2011
The correlation bias refers to the fact that claim subordination in the capital structure of the firm influences claim … holders’ preferred degree of asset correlation in portfolios held by the firm. Using the copula capital structure model, it is … shown that the correlation bias shifts shareholder preferences towards highly correlated assets, making financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401318
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A Noteon Saving-Investment Correlations in the EMS
International Monetary Fund - 1990
This paper extends recent work by Feldstein and Horioka (1980) and Bayoumi (1990), and examines saving-investment correlations for industrial countries in the post-war period. The focus of the enquiry is on differences observed between EMS and non-EMS countries. It is seen that the EMS countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396141
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Estimating Potential Output with a Multivariate Filter
International Monetary Fund - 2010
This paper develops a simple model for measuring potential output that uses data on inflation, unemployment, and capacity utilization. We apply the model to 10 countries, in addition to the United States and the euro area. While there is a substantial amount of uncertainty around our estimates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403161
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New Zealand; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2003
This Selected Issues paper examines the external linkages of the New Zealand economy. Empirical results from vector autoregressive models suggest that economic activity in Australia tends to have more of a significant direct impact on New Zealand than does activity in the United States....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825325
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Eastern Caribbean Currency Union; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2005
This Selected Issues paper analyzes macroeconomic fluctuations in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU). The paper describes data, along with the estimation technique used to ensure stationarity of the data. The empirical regularities of macroeconomic fluctuations in the ECCU are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825356
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Mexico; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2004
This Selected Issues paper analyzes the sources of Mexico’s economic growth since the 1960s, and compares various decompositions of historical growth into trend and cyclical components. The role of the implied output gaps in the inflation process is assessed. The paper presents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825457
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Government Spending, Rights, and Civil Liberties
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2000
Government spending plays a critical role in protecting and enforcing rights and civil liberties. Empirical evidence for a sample of industrial and developing countries shows that government expenditures on defense, law and order, social security, education, and health care are associated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825873