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Estimating Potential Output with a Multivariate Filter
International Monetary Fund - 2010
This paper develops a simple model for measuring potential output that uses data on inflation, unemployment, and capacity utilization. We apply the model to 10 countries, in addition to the United States and the euro area. While there is a substantial amount of uncertainty around our estimates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403161
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Jamaica; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2008
Economic outcomes in Jamaica have fallen short of the authorities’ objectives in recent years. As the government looks to reinvigorate its growth and debt reduction strategy, it is instructive to examine how exogenous shocks and other unanticipated developments can affect economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245592
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Fat Tails and their (Un)Happy Endings : Correlation Bias and its Implications for Systemic Risk and Prudential Regulation
International Monetary Fund - 2011
The correlation bias refers to the fact that claim subordination in the capital structure of the firm influences claim … holders’ preferred degree of asset correlation in portfolios held by the firm. Using the copula capital structure model, it is … shown that the correlation bias shifts shareholder preferences towards highly correlated assets, making financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401318
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A Noteon Saving-Investment Correlations in the EMS
International Monetary Fund - 1990
This paper extends recent work by Feldstein and Horioka (1980) and Bayoumi (1990), and examines saving-investment correlations for industrial countries in the post-war period. The focus of the enquiry is on differences observed between EMS and non-EMS countries. It is seen that the EMS countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396141
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Investment; Specific Technology Shocks and International Business Cycles: An Empirical Assessment
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2010
In this paper, we first introduce investment-specific technology (IST) shocks to an otherwise standard international real business cycle model and show that a thoughtful calibration of them along the lines of Raffo (2009) successfully addresses the "quantity", "international comovement",...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671290
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Once Again, is Openness Good for Growth?
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2004
Rodriguez and Rodrik (2000) argue that the relation between openness and growth is still an open question. One of the main problems in the assessment of the effect is the endogeneity of the relation. In order to address this issue, this paper applies the identification through heteroskedasticity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768790
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On the Estimation of Term Structure Models and An Application to the United States
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2010
This paper discusses the estimation of models of the term structure of interest rates. After reviewing the term structure models, specifically the Nelson-Siegel Model and Affine Term- Structure Model, this paper estimates the terms structure of Treasury bond yields for the United States with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727797
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A Cointegration Model for Search Equilibrium Wage Formation
International Monetary Fund - 2004
cointegration approach. It finds that labor flows, and notably flows from outside the labor market, are important determinants of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401436
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France : Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund - 2000
This paper presents an overview of the different methodologies that can be used to measure the amount of available slack in an economy. A comparison of these alternatives reveals that the evolution of the Nairu is crucial for understanding recent cyclical developments in the French economy. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403325
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France : Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund - 2008
The export performance of the French economy relative to its own past and relative to a major trading partner, Germany, has deteriorated. The risk analysis indicates that French firms have seen a significant improvement in the corporate health, and seem resilient to the recent financial shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404491