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time-varying risk. Some work by Abel provided us with the insights needed to produce such formulas. This paper gives a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396175
The paper considers gains from international economic policy coordination when there is uncertainty concerning the … functioning of the world economy, but also learning about the “true” model on the part of policymakers. The paper reports … uncoordinated) may produce large welfare losses in the absence of learning, if policymakers believe in the wrong model; hence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395854
This paper develops a public education scheme that takes uncertainty aspects of private educational investments … returns of investments in education. The consideration of uncertainty provides a neglected link between educational choice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400865
past gains and losses on investors'' risk aversion. We first present a simple model on how heterogeneous changes in … investors'' risk aversion affect portfolio decisions and stock prices. Second, we empirically show that, when funds'' returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402038
Small developing states are disproportionately vulnerable to natural disasters. On average, the annual cost of disasters for small states is nearly 2 percent of GDP-more than four times that for larger countries. This reflects a higher frequency of disasters, adjusted for land area, as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408600
number of lower income countries being particularly at risk. Macroeconomic policies in these countries will need to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408643
change and (later) benefits, pervasive uncertainties and irreversibilities (including risk of catastrophe), and sharp …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409978
assess the interest rate risk carried by a sample of Indian banks in March 2002. We find evidence of substantial exposure to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404135
This paper surveys that state of fiscal transparency in the wake of the current crisis and looks at what can be done to improve it. It examines the relationship between fiscal transparency and fiscal outcomes; reviews progress in promoting greater fiscal transparency over the past decade; considers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014410215
The rapid recovery in many low-income countries (LICs) following the global crisis has been sustained in 2012. Softening commodity prices have led to moderating inflation pressures in most LICs. However, progress in rebuilding policy buffers has halted over the past two years, despite continued...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014410327