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The paper evaluates whether a monetary aggregate can serve as a useful predictor of inflation, using recent … of return variables. However, deviations of M2 from its long-run equilibrium value do not significantly enhance inflation … forecasts based on conventional output-gap models, a result that stands in contrast to the Federal Reserve’s P* relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395786
anti-inflation policy that has led to a sharp decline in inflation. To institute a monetary policy framework, a nominal … currency in circulation, conduct more sophisticated tests to assess the relationship between inflation and the monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242840
. Despite economic sanctions imposed by Russia in 2006, Georgia’s economic growth continues to be strong, and inflation has … declined. Growth is expected to reach 9 percent in 2006 and to slow only moderately to 7–8 percent in 2007. Inflation was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242897
with 2004 on account of both internal and external factors. Growth slowed to 4.1 percent in 2005, with agricultural output … falling as a result of floods, and industrial output growth slowing owing in part to the abolition of global textile quotas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243437
This Selected Issues paper analyzes the main determinants of inflation in Mongolia using empirical tests based on a … structural model approach and vector autoregression model, with a view to assessing whether inflation is predominantly affected … components of the inflation dynamics under various exogenous shocks. The paper also addresses the mineral wealth management …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243934
Mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary System can be expressed as a stable function of ERM-wide income, inflation, interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396161
An unexpected shortage of banknotes emerged during 1992 in the former Soviet Union. The cash shortage is explained by the asymmetry in the monetary union that prevailed, under which one member (the Russian Federation) controlled banknote production while every member could create deposit money....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398191
in broad money during the 1970s and 1980s and the sharp decline in the income velocity of broad money during 1986-88. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395815
This paper examines monetary concepts and definitions. It notes that approaches to monetary analysis, and the concept of money itself, have been undergoing substantial change in many countries due in large part to recent innovation, which has affected financial markets, financial instruments,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395823
of fiscal deficits to inflation, output growth, and internal and external debt … options are simulated using the framework of the public finance approach to inflation. The simulations focus on the relation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395995