Showing 1 - 10 of 1,405
variability over a prolonged period of time, against a background of high inflation. Convergence toward international relative and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398244
various tax rates lead to lower budget deficits in the long run, as a result of an expanding tax base and lower unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401626
estimate a New Keynesian Phillips curve for Armenia, suggesting a significant role of the output gap and inflation expectations … in determining current inflation. Finally, the underlying fiscal stance over the period 2000-09 is assessed by estimating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398416
The 2008 crisis underscored the interconnectedness of the international business cycle, with U.S. shocks leading to the largest global slowdown since the 1930s. We estimate spillover effects across major advanced country regions in a structural VAR (SVAR) using pre-crisis data. Our new method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402644
This paper presents an econometric model of U.S. current account transactions. The model is used to analyze the factors behind the deterioration in the U.S. external position during the 1980s and to examine the sensitivity of the U.S. current account balance to changes in factors which are its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396470
This paper considers the demand for various monetary aggregates with a view to assessing their potential roles as intermediate variables for monetary policy. Illustrative estimates using a generalized autoregressive distributed lag model are presented. For M1, the results support an “error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396094
The paper evaluates whether a monetary aggregate can serve as a useful predictor of inflation, using recent … of return variables. However, deviations of M2 from its long-run equilibrium value do not significantly enhance inflation …. Nevertheless, changes in M2 do contain information about future inflation, consistent with the view that the demand for money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395786
Anecdotal evidence relates corruption with high levels of military spending. This paper tests empirically whether such a relationship exists. The empirical analysis is based on data from four different sources for up to 120 countries in the period 1985–98. The association between military...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399916
The paper examines empirically the question of whether more unequal societies spend more on income redistribution than their more egalitarian counterparts. Theoretical arguments on this issue are inconclusive. The political economy literature suggests that redistributive spending is higher in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400085
This paper examines the extent to which conclusions of cross-country studies of private savings are robust to allowing for the possible heterogeneity of savings behavior across countries and the inclusion of dynamics. It shows that neglecting heterogeneity and dynamics can lead to misleading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400163