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This paper examines the extent to which conclusions of cross-country studies of private savings are robust to allowing for the possible heterogeneity of savings behavior across countries and the inclusion of dynamics. It shows that neglecting heterogeneity and dynamics can lead to misleading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400163
This paper develops a simple model for measuring potential output that uses data on inflation, unemployment, and capacity utilization. We apply the model to 10 countries, in addition to the United States and the euro area. While there is a substantial amount of uncertainty around our estimates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403161
This paper examines the impact of trade costs on real exchange rate volatility. We incorporate a multi … exchange rate volatility depends on relative technological differences and trade costs. These differences highlight a new … volatility. We then test the importance of this channel using a large panel of cross-country data over 1970-97, and find strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399797
We study the impact of a minimum wage on business cycle volatility, depending upon its coverage and adjustment … affecting 20 percent of employees would amplify output volatility by 0.2 percent to 9.2 percent, and employment volatility by ?1 ….2 percent to 7.8 percent. A fixed wage or indexation to consumption price inflation increases volatility most. Indexation to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401464
Spillovers to Indonesia. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009510804
China’s spillovers, elasticities approach, factor pricing, overcapacity, and sustainability risks. It elaborates on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398327
illustrate the possibility of large spillovers from the area in times of stress. The prospect of large spillovers underscores the … could benefit the rest of the world. Spillovers from gradual monetary policy normalization appear manageable. Execution of … the structural reform agenda will carry positive spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398514
policy spillovers. Concerns that the end of QE2 could lead to a rapid reversal of emerging market capital flows appear … overblown. A credible plan for a gradual U.S. fiscal consolidation would likely have limited short-term spillovers and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398572
To test the role of bank lending in transmitting currency crisis we examine a panel of BIS data on bank flows to 30 emerging markets disaggregated by 11 banking centers. We find that bank exposures to a crisis country help predict bank flows in third countries after the Mexican and Asian crisis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399830
This paper presents evidence that spillovers through bank lending, as opposed to trade linkages and country … characteristics, can help explain contagion. We construct a measure of competition for bank funds and find evidence in favor of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401017