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A small macroeconomic model based on familiar theoretical considerations is developed and estimated using data from 31 developing countries. Efficient estimation techniques are used to control for country heterogeneity under the assumption of rational expectations. The estimates and the test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396265
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013548381
attention to the welfare consequences of this type of market intervention. Our paper provides a simple, optimizing framework in … which the welfare consequences of capital controls can be assessed. Two main issues are considered. First, how do capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396039
exchange rate regime generates identifiable welfare losses of 2-8 percent of GDP on import markets and up to 15 percent on … export markets. These excess burdens have increased substantially with the growing difference of exchange rates. The welfare … analysis allows some conclusions regarding the optimal reform strategy: (i) welfare losses will decline overproportionally as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399812
Since beginning economic transition, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Poland, and Slovenia have—with much success—employed diverse exchange rate regimes. As these countries approach EU accession, they will need to avoid the perils of too much or too little exchange rate variability when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264251
Capital flows are an important aspect of the international monetary system. They provide significant benefits, both direct and indirect. At the same time, they also carry risks, and a key challenge for countries is how to harness the benefits while managing the risks. The institutional view on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408595
Capital flows can deliver substantial benefits for countries, but also have the potential to contribute to a buildup of systemic financial risk. Benefits, such as enhanced investment and consumption smoothing, tend to be greater for countries whose financial and institutional development enables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408642
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408670
Capital flows have increased significantly in recent years and are a key aspect of the global monetary system. They offer potential benefits to countries, but their size and volatility can also pose policy challenges. The Fund needs to be in a position to provide clear and consistent advice with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014410311
This note outlines the approach of the proposed revision to the Institutional View (IV) when assessing whether systemic financial stability risks are elevated due to foreign currency (FX) mismatches. The approach builds on the staff guidance regarding risk assessments in bilateral surveillance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060526