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This paper reviews the long-term growth performance of the major industrial countries and discusses some of the many factors that have been identified as possible sources of the marked slowdown in growth since the early 1970s. According to the view of different demographic developments across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400806
This paper considers the implications of the prospective aging of the U.S. population for the social security system and concludes that the large and growing cashflow surpluses of the social security trust funds should be saved to help insulate living stands against this change. A number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396207
This paper analyzes the main conceptual issues that arise in assessing external sustainability with a view toward developing operational criteria for the purposes of multilateral surveillance. The main contribution of the analysis is to show how conditional forecasts of external imbalance may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396367
Inflation-forecast targeting is state of the art for monetary policy. This book explores first principles, including …Part I. The frontiers of monetary policymaking. 1. An overview of inflation-forecast targeting -- Part II. Principles … and practices of inflation-forecast targeting. 2. First principles -- 3. Managing expectations -- 4. Nuts and bolts of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874333
This paper seeks to advance the discussion of monetary policy strategies in several ways. One involves a comparison of targets for nominal GNP and the price level, with emphasis on specificational robustness and implications for output variability. A second pertains to various “indicator”...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396173
This paper examines the dynamics of the foreign exchange market. The first half addresses a number of key questions regarding the forecasts of future exchange rates made by market participants, by means of updated estimates using survey data. Here we follow most of the theoretical and empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396182
Europe is facing slower growth as a result of protracted financial turbulence and spillovers from the U.S. Meanwhile, inflation has risen sharply. Policymakers in advanced economies will have to continue to support financial markets and balance risks to real activity with the need to anchor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012673975
The past year has been one of strong economic performance for the Western Hemisphere, notwithstanding somewhat slower growth in the United States in recent quarters. Can this performance be sustained, and what challenges does the region face? Reviewing macroeconomic prospects and risks, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012673976
-- 17 Global Outlook -- 18 International Commodity Prices -- 19 Brent Crude Oil Prices -- 20 Global Growth Forecast. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012673978
Intro -- CONTENTS -- PREFACE -- OVERVIEW -- RECENT DEVELOPMENTS AND SHORT- TERM PROSPECTS -- SCALING UP AID: MACROECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS -- FINANCIAL SECTORS: ISSUES, CHALLENGES, AND REFORM STRATEGIES -- FISCAL DECENTRALIZATION -- APPENDIX -- STATISTICAL APPENDIX -- REFERENCES -- PUBLICATIONS OF...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012673979