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Staff Studies for the World Econ Outlook

International Monetary Fund - 1987

This paper reviews the long-term growth performance of the major industrial countries and discusses some of the many factors that have been identified as possible sources of the marked slowdown in growth since the early 1970s. According to the view of different demographic developments across...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400806

Social Security, Demographic Trends, and the Federal Budget

International Monetary Fund - 1990

This paper considers the implications of the prospective aging of the U.S. population for the social security system and concludes that the large and growing cashflow surpluses of the social security trust funds should be saved to help insulate living stands against this change. A number of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396207

Criteria of External Sustainability

International Monetary Fund - 1988

This paper analyzes the main conceptual issues that arise in assessing external sustainability with a view toward developing operational criteria for the purposes of multilateral surveillance. The main contribution of the analysis is to show how conditional forecasts of external imbalance may be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396367

Advancing the frontiers of monetary policy

Adrian, Tobias (ed.); Laxton, Douglas (ed.); … - 2018

Inflation-forecast targeting is state of the art for monetary policy. This book explores first principles, including …Part I. The frontiers of monetary policymaking. 1. An overview of inflation-forecast targeting -- Part II. Principles … and practices of inflation-forecast targeting. 2. First principles -- 3. Managing expectations -- 4. Nuts and bolts of a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874333

Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market

International Monetary Fund - 1990

This paper seeks to advance the discussion of monetary policy strategies in several ways. One involves a comparison of targets for nominal GNP and the price level, with emphasis on specificational robustness and implications for output variability. A second pertains to various “indicator”...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396173

Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market

International Monetary Fund - 1990

This paper examines the dynamics of the foreign exchange market. The first half addresses a number of key questions regarding the forecasts of future exchange rates made by market participants, by means of updated estimates using survey data. Here we follow most of the theoretical and empirical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396182

World Economic Outlook, September 1984

International Monetary Fund - 1984

Recent indicators suggest that activity in the world economy is strengthening more rapidly than projected by the staff six months ago. This is especially true of the United States, but the staff has also revised upward its growth projections for most other industrial countries-in the case of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404904

Arab Countries in Transition : Economic Outlook and Key Challenges

International Monetary Fund - 2015

The Arab Countries in Transition (ACTs) have had diverging trajectories over the past year and face an uncertain outlook.1 Improvements in the European economy, lower oil prices, and some progress on the policy front have provided tailwinds to growth, which is expected to pick up significantly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408553

Gulf Cooperation Council : The Economic Outlook and Policy Challenges in the GCC Countries

International Monetary Fund - 2017

Global economic activity is gaining momentum. Global growth is forecast at 3.6 percent this year, and 3.7 percent in … 2018, compared to 3.2 percent in 2016. Risks around this forecast are broadly balanced in the near term, but are skewed to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408627

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2014, Sub-Saharan Africa : Fostering Durable and Inclusive Growth

International Monetary Fund - 2014

The five Regional Economic Outlooks published biannually by the IMF cover Asia and Pacific, Europe, the Middle East and Central Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and the Western Hemisphere. In each volume, recent economic developments and prospects for the region are discussed as a whole, as well as for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409454