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This paper explains why sovereign issuers of reserve currencies do not use unexpected inflation to repudiate their … excessive money creation. It is shown that even without policy precommitment or aversion to inflation, the availability of … alternative currencies can support an equilibrium with a finite, time consistent inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396294
Chinese inflation, particularly non-food inflation, has been surprisingly modest in recent years. We find that supply …-food inflation, as has foreign demand for Chinese goods. Domestic demand and monetary conditions seem less important, possibly … reflecting a large domestic output gap generated by many years of high investment. Inflation varies systemically within China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397413
This paper explores inflation determinants within the EU and implications for new members'' euro adoption plans. Factor … analysis partitions observed inflation in EU25 countries into common-origin and country-specific (idiosyncratic) components …. Cross-country differences in common-origin inflation within the EU are found to depend on gaps in the initial price level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401399
Supporting Studies for the World Economic Outlook, prepared by IMF staff, provide a more detailed analysis of issues recently covered in the main pubication. The current edition includes studies of globalization and growth, the future of the international financial system, currency crises,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404467
The paper evaluates whether a monetary aggregate can serve as a useful predictor of inflation, using recent … of return variables. However, deviations of M2 from its long-run equilibrium value do not significantly enhance inflation …. Nevertheless, changes in M2 do contain information about future inflation, consistent with the view that the demand for money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395786
Anecdotal evidence relates corruption with high levels of military spending. This paper tests empirically whether such a relationship exists. The empirical analysis is based on data from four different sources for up to 120 countries in the period 1985–98. The association between military...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399916
The paper examines empirically the question of whether more unequal societies spend more on income redistribution than their more egalitarian counterparts. Theoretical arguments on this issue are inconclusive. The political economy literature suggests that redistributive spending is higher in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400085
This paper examines the extent to which conclusions of cross-country studies of private savings are robust to allowing for the possible heterogeneity of savings behavior across countries and the inclusion of dynamics. It shows that neglecting heterogeneity and dynamics can lead to misleading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400163
This paper develops and calibrates a simple general equilibrium model with two types of labor and capital for the French economy. The simulation results indicate that targeted reductions in employer social security taxes have six times as large an effect on employment as untargeted reductions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401626
The Slovak Republic’s 2005 Article IV Consultation reports that sound macroeconomic management and a wide range of fundamental structural reforms are supporting nominal convergence with European Union norms. Real GDP growth accelerated to 6 percent in 2005, driven by an improvement in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244180