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The role of trade in the global economy is at a critical juncture. Increased trade integration helped to drive economic growth in advanced and developing economies in the latter part of the 20th century. Since the early 2000's, however, a slowdown in the pace of trade reform, a post-crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408691
We compile a historical dataset covering nearly 40 years of booms and busts in the commodity terms of trade of over 150 countries. We discuss the characteristics of these events and their effects on macroeconomic performance and, in particular, compare the most recent commodity-price cycle with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402376
This paper studies the impact of the level and volatility of the commodity terms of trade on economic growth, as well as on the three main growth channels: total factor productivity, physical capital accumulation, and human capital acquisition. We use the standard system GMM approach as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396933
In this paper we identify some of the main factors behind systemic risk in a set of international large-scale complex banks using the novel CoVaR approach. We find that short-term wholesale funding is a key determinant in triggering systemic risk episodes. In contrast, we find no evidence that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396950
This paper describes determinants of Japan’s productivity growth, reform outputs, and speculation on future potential growth. It investigates the macroeconomic implications of alternative fiscal strategies; examines the issues surrounding the Bank of Japan’s understanding of price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245231
The World Economic Outlook, published twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, presents IMF staff … economists' analyses of global economic developments during the near and medium term. Chapters give an overview of the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403935
increase in protectionist pressures, and the disappointing performance of world trade, renewed concern has been expressed about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014406218
set up by treaty in 1945 to help promote the health of the world economy. Through its work, the IMF helps to keep the … world economy running as smoothly as possible. Its work is aimed partly at the prevention of economic and financial crises … countries' economic size, determine countries' voting power in the IMF and the limits to what they can borrow. The IMF and World …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397381
This paper reviews major issues and developments in the trade area and outlines the challenges governments face as they seek to liberalize trade in the Uruguay Round of trade negotiations and address new trade issues. In industrial countries, the reorientation of policies was most apparent in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397644
can be conveyed by the degree that world trade is affected by countries adopting different arrangements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397802