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A common rationale for EMS membership is that it enhances the credibility of a central bank’s commitment to stable … exchange rate bands and the prevalence of capital controls. In our model, capital controls themselves affect credibility … to reconcile the non-zero width of the bands with the credibility-based interpretation of the EMS …
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In this paper we analyze the degree of policy convergence of EMS member countries relative to that of some non-EMS countries. Interestingly, we find convergence for the nominal and real exchange rates and money supplies of the EMS members but not for the non-EMS countries. We also provide some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396029
This paper presents a brief survey of the empirical literature on survey-based exchange rate expectations. The literature in general supports the presence of a non-zero risk premium and rejects the hypothesis of rational expectations. The crucial result is that, while short-run expectations tend...
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In its surveillance activities, the Fund is frequently confronted with the difficult problem of how to identify exchange rate behavior that is unrelated to underlying economic and financial conditions and, consequently, should be viewed with concern from a national or international standpoint....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402535
This paper reviews developments and issues in the exchange arrangements and currency convertibility of IMF members. Against the backdrop of continuing financial globalization and a series of emerging market crises since 1997, there have been important changes in the evolution of exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404579
This paper reviews recent developments in the exchange system in the Islamic Republic of Iran and in the real effective exchange rate (REER). It also considers the determinants of the REER in connection with the choice of exchange regime after unification. The study illustrates how economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401804