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Advancing the frontiers of monetary policy

Adrian, Tobias (ed.); Laxton, Douglas (ed.); … - 2018

Inflation-forecast targeting is state of the art for monetary policy. This book explores first principles, including …Part I. The frontiers of monetary policymaking. 1. An overview of inflation-forecast targeting -- Part II. Principles … and practices of inflation-forecast targeting. 2. First principles -- 3. Managing expectations -- 4. Nuts and bolts of a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874333

Estimating Potential Output with a Multivariate Filter

International Monetary Fund - 2010

This paper develops a simple model for measuring potential output that uses data on inflation, unemployment, and capacity utilization. We apply the model to 10 countries, in addition to the United States and the euro area. While there is a substantial amount of uncertainty around our estimates,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403161

Macrofinance Model of the Czech Economy : Asset Allocation Perspective

International Monetary Fund - 2012

The paper developes a VAR macrofinance model of the Czech economy. It shows that yield misalignments from the yields implied by the macrofinance model partially determine subsequent yield changes over three to nine months. These yield misalignments tend to persist for a number of months. This...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396906

Short-Term Wholesale Funding and Systemic Risk : A Global Covar Approach

International Monetary Fund - 2012

In this paper we identify some of the main factors behind systemic risk in a set of international large-scale complex banks using the novel CoVaR approach. We find that short-term wholesale funding is a key determinant in triggering systemic risk episodes. In contrast, we find no evidence that a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396950

The Transmission Mechanism in Armenia : New Evidence from a Regime Switching VAR Analysis

International Monetary Fund - 2010

The introduction of inflation targeting in 2006, together with important economic developments such as dedollarization, marked the beginning of a new macroeconomic framework in Armenia, which is likely to have changed the effectiveness of monetary policy. This paper is the first attempt to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403230

A Cointegration Model for Search Equilibrium Wage Formation

International Monetary Fund - 2004

cointegration approach. It finds that labor flows, and notably flows from outside the labor market, are important determinants of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401436

France : Selected Issues

International Monetary Fund - 2000

This paper presents an overview of the different methodologies that can be used to measure the amount of available slack in an economy. A comparison of these alternatives reveals that the evolution of the Nairu is crucial for understanding recent cyclical developments in the French economy. A...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403325

Staff Studies for the World Econ Outlook

International Monetary Fund - 1987

This paper reviews the long-term growth performance of the major industrial countries and discusses some of the many factors that have been identified as possible sources of the marked slowdown in growth since the early 1970s. According to the view of different demographic developments across...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400806

Pension Reform in Belgium

International Monetary Fund - 1996

This paper reviews the financial implications of aging for the pension system in Belgium during 1995-2050. Our simulations indicate a strong rise in pension expenditure over the next half century, as is the case in other industrialized countries. In Belgium, the problem is particularly acute in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396528

Financial Crises, Poverty, and Income Distribution

International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2002

Developing and transition economies are prone to financial crises, including balance of payments and banking crises. These crises affect poverty and the distribution of income through a variety of channels: slowdowns in economic activity, relative price changes, and fiscal retrenchment, among...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264050

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