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adjustment rule, under alternative inflation targets, in terms of output losses in a macroeconomic model, using European Union … credibility, and that a positive inflation target, as opposed to zero inflation, leads to higher and less volatile output. These … countries supports country-specific flexible inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400852
Forward-looking behavior on the part of the monetary authority leads least squares estimates to understate the true growth consequences of monetary policy interventions. We present instrumental variables estimates of the impact of interest rates on real output growth for several European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400699
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000678483
This report describes the monetary and exchange rate policies of the euro area and the euro area stability programs. The Stability and Growth Pact presents annual stability programs (SPs), which outlines the medium-term fiscal objectives. The paper provides a preliminary review of the SPs,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014406861
internal demand, and low inflation. Executive Directors agreed that favorable external developments and sound macroeconomic … wage moderation and set in motion domestic inflation pressures. They emphasized the need to tighten monetary and fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014407384
The economic conditions in the euro area have brightened. Executive Directors commended the policy stance of the European Central Bank. They noted that the exchange rate developments of the euro failed to strengthen the euro area economy, and stressed the need for fiscal discipline, structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401709
For the time being—and possibly for a considerable time to come—developments and prospects for the euro area are quite favorable. This upbeat outlook is underpinned by buoyant activity indicators and a supportive policy mix. High household and business confidence, rising capacity utilization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401965
weaker and inflation higher than generally expected. To a large extent, this is the result of a series of unanticipated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014406355
This paper reviews the pros and cons of institutionalized constraints limiting the freedom of national budgetary policies within an Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) in Europe. The issue is approached from three angles: the influence of EMU on (i) budget discipline; (ii) intergenerational equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396369
A series of adverse supply and demand shocks have brought the euro area’s three-year expansion to a virtual standstill. Buoyant labor markets, which have been the hallmark of the recovery since 1997, have succumbed only gradually to the slowing of output growth. The slowdown has been pervasive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014407410