This paper investigates the impact of long-run terms-of-trade shocks. Analytically, we show that, if capital goods are largely importable or the labor supply is sufficiently elastic, then natural-resource booms increase aggregate investment and worsen the current account, but Dutch ‘Disease’...

Over the past decade or so, Tunisia has experienced a strong economic performance while pursuing a constant real exchange rate rule (CRERR). The limitations of this rule are now beginning to emerge in the context of a more open economy, regional integration, a more market-based monetary policy,...

This 2007 Article IV Consultation highlights that effective economic management and an outward-oriented development strategy have contributed to placing Tunisia’s economic performance over the past decade among the best in the region. Real GDP growth accelerated from 4 percent in 2005 to 5.4...

Tunisia showed strong performance owing to its prudent macroeconomic stance, aimed at continued fiscal consolidation and disinflation, backed by a solid record of investment in social and physical infrastructure. The paper describes the government finances, structure of the nonfinancial public...

This 2008 Article IV Consultation highlights that Tunisia’s sound economic policies and pragmatic approach to structural reforms continue to bear fruit, as evidenced by strong growth and improved social indicators. Real GDP growth averaged 5 percent a year while the macroeconomic and financial...

Tunisia’s reliance on European countries for export earnings, tourism, remittances, and foreign direct investment inflows has remained high over the last decades. Remittances and tourism receipts have been broadly stable in percent of GDP, with somewhat more fluctuations in the latter caused...

This paper discusses key findings of the Detailed Assessment of Compliance of the Basel Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision for Tunisia. The findings reveal that the Central Bank of Tunisia (Banque Centrale de Tunisi/BCT) monitors closely the supervised institutions. Its monitoring...

This Selected Issues paper analyzes trends in Tunisian inflation. It computes measures of core inflation, and develops a simple framework for forecasting inflation. The paper econometrically estimates the degree of exchange rate pass-through in Tunisia. The methodology relies on time series and...

This 2009 Article IV Consultation highlights that Tunisia has weathered the impact of the current crisis relatively well. Real GDP growth slowed down from an average of 4.6 percent in 2008 to 0.5 percent in the first quarter of 2009, reflecting mainly a fall in exports of manufactured goods to...

Tunisia showed excellent economic performance. Executive Directors commended the strong economic performance and resilience to adverse shocks, subdued inflation, strengthened reserves, and increasing capital inflows, which underscored the benefits of sustained sound macroeconomic policies and...