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Career Progression, Economic Downturns, and Skills
Adda, Jerome; Meghir, Costas; Dustmann, Christian; … - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013
This paper analyzes the career progression of skilled and unskilled workers, with a focus on how careers are affected by economic downturns and whether formal skills, acquired early on, can shield workers from the effect of recessions. Using detailed administrative data for Germany for numerous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010618278
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Evaluating the Dynamic Employment Effects of Training Programs in East Germany Using Conditional Difference-in-Differences
Speckesser, Stefan; Fitzenberger, Bernd; Bergemann, Annette - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW) - 2004
This paper evaluates the effects of Public Sponsored Training in East Germany in the context of reiterated treatments. Selection bias based on observed characteristics is corrected for by applying kernel matching based on the propensity score. We control for further selection and the presence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005097806
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Ideology
Benabou, Roland - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2008
I develop a model of ideologies as collectively sustained (yet individually rational) distortions in beliefs concerning the proper scope of governments versus markets. In processing and interpreting signals of the efficacy of public and market provision of education, health insurance, pensions,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005830746
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Democracy Undone. Systematic Minority Advantage in Competitive Vote Markets
casella, alessandra; Turban, Sébastien - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2012
We study the competitive equilibrium of a market for votes where voters can trade votes for a numeraire before making a decision via majority rule. The choice is binary and the number of supporters of either alternative is known. We identify a sufficient condition guaranteeing the existence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252333
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Left, Right, Left: Income, Learning and Political Dynamics
Morrow, John; Carter, Michael - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013
The political left turn in Latin America, which lagged its transition to liberalized market economies by a decade or more, challenges conventional economic explanations of voting behavior. This paper generalizes the forward-looking voter model to a broad range of dynamic, non-concave income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950705
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Estimating Habit Formation in Voting
Fujiwara, Thomas; Meng, Kyle C.; Vogl, Tom - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013
We estimate habit formation in voting--the effect of past on current turnout--by exploiting transitory voting cost shocks. Using county-level data on U.S. presidential elections from 1952-2012, we find that precipitation on current and past election days reduces voter turnout. Our estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951375
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Why is Economic Policy Different in New Democracies? Affecting Attitudes About Democracy
Drazen, Allan; Brender, Adi - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2007
When democracy is new, it is often fragile and not fully consolidated. We investigate how the danger of a collapse of democracy may affect fiscal policy in new democracies in comparison to countries where democracy is older and often more established. We argue that the attitude of the citizenry...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005777307
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Foreign Influence and Welfare
Antras, Pol; Miquel, Gerard Padró i - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2008
How do foreign interests influence the policy determination process? What are the welfare implications of such foreign influence? In this paper we develop a model of foreign influence and apply it to the study of optimal tariffs. We develop a two-country voting model of electoral competition,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005778622
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Education and Unemployment: A French-German Comparison
Lauer, Charlotte - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW) - 2003
This paper analyses the link between educational attainment and unemployment risk in a French-German comparison, based … on a discrete time competing risks hazard rate model applied to comparable microdata sets. The unemployment risk is … broken down into the risk of entering unemployment and the risk, once unemployed, of not getting reemployed. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005097945
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Aggregate Unemployment Decreases Individual Returns to Education
Ammermüller, Andreas; Kuckulenz, Anja; Zwick, Thomas - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW) - 2006
On the basis of a theoretical model, we argue that higher aggregate unemployment affects individual returns to … education. We therefore include aggregate unemployment and an interaction term between unemployment and the individual education … level in a standard Mincer equation. Our results show that an increase in regional unemployment by 1% decreases the returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005098068