Showing 1 - 10 of 18
China's sectoral trade composition, product quality mix, and import content of processing exports have all changed … substantially during the past decade. This has rendered trade elasticities estimated using aggregate data highly unstable, with more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263876
these spillovers into trade, commodity price, and financial market channels. For Canada, a one percent shock to U.S. real … important than trade in recent decades. Thus, a large proportion of the reduction in Canadian output volatility since the 1980s ….S. shock-"when the U.S. sneezes, Mexico catches a cold". These spillovers are transmitted through both trade and financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264075
This paper assesses the extent to which crashes in emerging market currencies are predictable using simple logit models based on lagged macroeconomic and financial data. To evaluate our model, we calculate trading strategies in which an investor goes long or short in the currency depending on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825803
Hicksian measure). The distinction between the two measures is important to the extent that trade patterns are inconsistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825862
This paper presents a general approximation method for characterizing time-varying equilibrium portfolios in a two-country dynamic general equilibrium model. the method can be easily adapted to most dynamic general equilibrium models, it applies to environments in which markets are complete or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826170
This paper examines the persistence of shocks to the terms of trade, using annual data on 42 Sub-Saharan African … countries between 1960-96. We find that the persistence of terms of trade shocks varies widely—for about half the countries such …-lived terms of trade shocks are typically those that have large shares of petroleum imports in total imports, small shares of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826235
This paper estimates the effects of offshoring on productivity in U.S. manufacturing industries between 1992 and 2000, using instrumental variables estimation to address the potential endogeneity of offshoring. It finds that service offshoring has a significant positive effect on productivity in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768861
In this paper we estimate gravity models to see whether trade volumes of countries in the MENA region are significantly … show that the variables used in standard gravity models cannot explain a significant part of MENA's trade performance … inefficiencies in customs clearance processes, are important in explaining the MENA region's underperformance in trade. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519501
trade reorientation toward WTO members after a putative accession. Our results also prompt some ideas that may resolve the … recent empirical controversy over the WTO's overall role in promoting trade. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599345
both samples that the effect of currency unions on trade is large, almost a doubling; currency unions are associated with … trade creation, increase price co-movements among members, and make trade more stable; and longer duration of currency union …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599381