Showing 1 - 10 of 14
We examine the implications of high degrees of dollarization for the choice of exchange rate regime and the information content of various monetary aggregates in developing countries. We conclude that a high degree of currency substitution argues for a more fixed exchange rate regime, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264031
countries with low pre-crisis inflation and hard pegs have been at least narrowly successful for countries in deeper disarray …) monetary aggregate targeting rarely serves as a coherent framework for floats; informal or full-fledged inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825883
We assess monetary regime options for Latin American countries. The costs of a common currency are likely to outweigh its benefits, as those countries face diverse economic shocks, do not trade much with each other, and are affected by common international financial shocks only to the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826660
, and inflation. The authors develop a framework that emphasizes the different roles of monetary and fiscal policy and apply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005767387
, Uganda (both de jure money targeters), and Ghana (a de jure inflation targeter), and compare the de facto adherence to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542989
Many central banks in low-income countries in Sub-Saharan Africa are modernising their monetary policy frameworks. Standard statistical procedures have had limited success in identifying the channels of monetary transmission in such countries. Here we take a narrative approach, following Romer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242205
We develop a semi-structural new-Keynesian open-economy model, with separate food and non-food inflation dynamics, for …-relevant exercises. First, we filter international and Kenyan data (on output, inflation and its components, exchange rates and interest … inflation. Third, we perform an out-of-sample forecast to identify where the economy—and therefore policy—was likely headed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242400
We extend the framework in Andrle and others (2013) to incorporate an explicit role for money targets and target misses in the analysis of monetary policy in low-income countries (LICs), with an application to Kenya. We provide a general specification that can nest various types of money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790361
Many estimates of early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis have reported incorrect standard errors because of serial correlation in the context of panel probit regressions. This paper documents the magnitude of the problem, proposes and tests a solution, and applies it to previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768958
This paper motivates and describes an approach to forecasting and monetary policy analysis based on the use of a simple structural macroeconomic model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. It contrasts this approach with financial programming and its emphasis on monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768925