money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …

The paper evaluates the 24-month ahead inflation forecasting performance of various indicators of underlying inflation … and structural models. The inflation forecast errors resulting from model misspecification are larger than the errors …) overperform other measures over the monetary policy horizon and are leading indicators of headline inflation. Trimmed means …

Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been … remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s … observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the …

The paper analyzes the forces driving inflation in the new EU10 member countries. A significant part of headline … inflation in these countries is due to common factors, such as price level convergence and EU integration. However …, idiosyncratic factors have also played a role in the inflation process. These factors are related to the country-specific financial …

This paper's analysis of growth and inflation dispersions in the euro area reveals several findings. First, these …