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predictions of a forward-looking model of inflation. Wealth effects of public debt could also affect inflation, as posited by the … fiscal theory of the price level, but we do not find supportive evidence. The results suggest that the risk of a debt-inflation … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263906
of inflation. Differences between the rate of inflation and currency depreciation (over- or undershooting of the exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264134
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264231
inflation. The results also suggest that a disequilibrium in the money market has a lasting impact on inflation. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825934
The introduction of a new currency has often occurred as part of a program to fight hyperinflation. In this context, non-uniform conversion rates for different types of assets and liabilities have been used as a means of reducing an initial “excess” stock of liquidity. The paper examines the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826265
This article uses two analytical methodologies to understand the dynamics of inflation in Paraguay, the mark-up theory … of inflation and the monetary theory of inflation. We also study the impact of different monetary aggregates. The results … suggest that monetary factors, in particular currency in circulation, play a major role in determining long-run inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826475
money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826669
and inflation in broad cross-country panels. This paper provides new econometric estimates for a panel of 23 emerging …-run relationship between the two variables controlling for differences in the inflation tax base. We find that a 1 percentage point … reduction in the ratio of fiscal deficit to GDP typically lowers long-run inflation by 1½ to 6 percentage points, depending on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768892
substitution affects the choice of nominal anchors in inflation stabilization programs; third, the effects of changes in the rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769096
sub-Saharan African countries on the relative importance of fiscal and monetary determinants of inflation. Based on the … dynamic response of inflation to different shocks, including nominal public debt, results show that a number of SSA countries … of inflation variability, as predicted by the fiscal theory of the price level. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769262