Showing 1 - 10 of 317
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264231
In the past decades, much work has been geared toward solving the problem of time inconsistency in monetary policy and analyzing the coordination problem between fiscal and monetary policy. This paper provides a review of the theoretical background to these theories, while also focusing on their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826014
money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826669
sub-Saharan African countries on the relative importance of fiscal and monetary determinants of inflation. Based on the … dynamic response of inflation to different shocks, including nominal public debt, results show that a number of SSA countries … of inflation variability, as predicted by the fiscal theory of the price level. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769262
these policy instruments. It commits to higher money supply in the future so that the private sector expects inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599394
Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non-monetary factors alone may leave the ECB with an incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599686
This paper examines the relative importance of monetary factors and structuralist supply-side factors for inflation in … Pakistan. A stylized inflation model is specified that includes standard monetary variables (money supply, credit to the … that monetary factors have played a dominant role in recent inflation, affecting inflation with a lag of about one year …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604974
inflation when there is no perceived commitment to reduce the fiscal deficit. The model is based on a modified version of the … current consumption leads to an equal increase in inflation. The timing of this increase varies with the size of the deficit … inflation. Three policy conclusions are offered. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263970
some of the area's institutional features, which may impart considerable persistence to area-wide inflation, caution … against shifting to conventional inflation targeting. But the time series evidence also seems to point to a relatively loose … connection between variations in nominal money growth and inflation in the short to medium run. As a consequence, effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264049
policy, with much progress having been made over the last decade. The paper highlights that the adoption of an inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244992