Showing 1 - 10 of 259
predictions of a forward-looking model of inflation. Wealth effects of public debt could also affect inflation, as posited by the … fiscal theory of the price level, but we do not find supportive evidence. The results suggest that the risk of a debt-inflation … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263906
In the past decades, much work has been geared toward solving the problem of time inconsistency in monetary policy and analyzing the coordination problem between fiscal and monetary policy. This paper provides a review of the theoretical background to these theories, while also focusing on their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826014
This article uses two analytical methodologies to understand the dynamics of inflation in Paraguay, the mark-up theory … of inflation and the monetary theory of inflation. We also study the impact of different monetary aggregates. The results … suggest that monetary factors, in particular currency in circulation, play a major role in determining long-run inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826475
sub-Saharan African countries on the relative importance of fiscal and monetary determinants of inflation. Based on the … dynamic response of inflation to different shocks, including nominal public debt, results show that a number of SSA countries … of inflation variability, as predicted by the fiscal theory of the price level. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769262
Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non-monetary factors alone may leave the ECB with an incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599686
impact on the economy—given better anchored inflation expectations and inflation being less responsive to variation in … effectiveness may moderate in graying societies. It then uses Bayesian estimation techniques for the U.S., Canada, Japan, U.K., and … Germany to confirm a weakening of monetary policy effectiveness over time with regards to unemployment and inflation. After …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242214
The paper discusses the purpose, properties, and theoretical foundations of various indicators of inflation and also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245099
some of the area's institutional features, which may impart considerable persistence to area-wide inflation, caution … against shifting to conventional inflation targeting. But the time series evidence also seems to point to a relatively loose … connection between variations in nominal money growth and inflation in the short to medium run. As a consequence, effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264049
The paper evaluates the 24-month ahead inflation forecasting performance of various indicators of underlying inflation … and structural models. The inflation forecast errors resulting from model misspecification are larger than the errors …) overperform other measures over the monetary policy horizon and are leading indicators of headline inflation. Trimmed means …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599687
policy, with much progress having been made over the last decade. The paper highlights that the adoption of an inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244992