predictions of a forward-looking model of inflation. Wealth effects of public debt could also affect inflation, as posited by the … fiscal theory of the price level, but we do not find supportive evidence. The results suggest that the risk of a debt-inflation … inflation. …

inflation and posed a price puzzle insofar their evolution was not responsive to record low interest rates, double digit … commodities inflation, and sharp exchange rate depreciation. Commodities prices were shown to be driven by one common trend … accelerating commodities price inflation, subsequent world recession, and financial disorder; or tighten monetary policy with …

-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …

money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …

and inflation in broad cross-country panels. This paper provides new econometric estimates for a panel of 23 emerging …-run relationship between the two variables controlling for differences in the inflation tax base. We find that a 1 percentage point … reduction in the ratio of fiscal deficit to GDP typically lowers long-run inflation by 1½ to 6 percentage points, depending on …

sub-Saharan African countries on the relative importance of fiscal and monetary determinants of inflation. Based on the … dynamic response of inflation to different shocks, including nominal public debt, results show that a number of SSA countries … of inflation variability, as predicted by the fiscal theory of the price level. …

these policy instruments. It commits to higher money supply in the future so that the private sector expects inflation …