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Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence From Out-Of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian Vars
Österholm, Pär; Berger, Helge - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264231
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Selected Issues Concerning Monetary Policy and Institutional Design for Central Banks; A Review of Theories
Beddies, Christian H. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
In the past decades, much work has been geared toward solving the problem of time inconsistency in monetary policy and analyzing the coordination problem between fiscal and monetary policy. This paper provides a review of the theoretical background to these theories, while also focusing on their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826014
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Inflation and Monetary Reform
Agénor, Pierre-Richard; Lennblad, Anna - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 1992
The introduction of a new currency has often occurred as part of a program to fight hyperinflation. In this context, non-uniform conversion rates for different types of assets and liabilities have been used as a means of reducing an initial “excess” stock of liquidity. The paper examines the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826265
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The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation
Stavrev, Emil; Berger, Helge - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826669
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Investigating Inflation Dynamics in Sudan
Moriyama, Kenji - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
This paper investigates inflation dynamics in Sudan using three different approaches: the single equation model, the …-conflict country that uses these three separate techniques to understand inflation dynamics. The use of these approaches is … inflation with 18-24 months time lag. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768738
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Currency Substitution in Developing Countries; An Introduction
Calvo, Guillermo; Gramont, Carlos A. Végh - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 1992
substitution affects the choice of nominal anchors in inflation stabilization programs; third, the effects of changes in the rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769096
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Fiscal and Monetary Anchors for Price Stability; Evidence From Sub-Saharan Africa
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2008
sub-Saharan African countries on the relative importance of fiscal and monetary determinants of inflation. Based on the … dynamic response of inflation to different shocks, including nominal public debt, results show that a number of SSA countries … of inflation variability, as predicted by the fiscal theory of the price level. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769262
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How to Fight Deflation in a Liquidity Trap; Committing to Being Irresponsible
Eggertsson, Gauti B. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003
these policy instruments. It commits to higher money supply in the future so that the private sector expects inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599394
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The ECB’s Monetary Analysis Revisited
Berger, Helge; Harjes, Thomas; Stavrev, Emil - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non-monetary factors alone may leave the ECB with an incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599686
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Monetary Transaction Costs and the Term Premium
Espinoza, Raphael A.; Tsomocos, Dimitrios P. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
We show that, in a monetary equilibrium, trade and asset prices depend on both the supply of the liquidity by the Central Bank and the liquidity of assets and commodities. As a result, monetary aggregates are informative for the conduct of monetary policy. We also show asset prices are higher in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790281