Showing 1 - 10 of 292
This paper presents a comprehensive econometric analysis of the determinants of deflation in Hong Kong SAR. The analysis helps to determine the relative contributions of factors such as increased productivity, scarce money supply, and excess capacity in determining deflation. The main conclusion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248268
predictions of a forward-looking model of inflation. Wealth effects of public debt could also affect inflation, as posited by the … fiscal theory of the price level, but we do not find supportive evidence. The results suggest that the risk of a debt-inflation … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263906
inflation and posed a price puzzle insofar their evolution was not responsive to record low interest rates, double digit … commodities inflation, and sharp exchange rate depreciation. Commodities prices were shown to be driven by one common trend … accelerating commodities price inflation, subsequent world recession, and financial disorder; or tighten monetary policy with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263936
In the past decades, much work has been geared toward solving the problem of time inconsistency in monetary policy and analyzing the coordination problem between fiscal and monetary policy. This paper provides a review of the theoretical background to these theories, while also focusing on their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826014
money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826669
and inflation in broad cross-country panels. This paper provides new econometric estimates for a panel of 23 emerging …-run relationship between the two variables controlling for differences in the inflation tax base. We find that a 1 percentage point … reduction in the ratio of fiscal deficit to GDP typically lowers long-run inflation by 1½ to 6 percentage points, depending on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768892
these policy instruments. It commits to higher money supply in the future so that the private sector expects inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599394
This paper applies cointegration analysis and error-correction modeling to investigate the behavior of broad money demand in Cameroon over 1963/64-1993/94. The cointegrated VAR analysis first describes an open-economy model of money, prices, income, and a vector of rates of return, within which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605354
impact on the economy—given better anchored inflation expectations and inflation being less responsive to variation in … effectiveness may moderate in graying societies. It then uses Bayesian estimation techniques for the U.S., Canada, Japan, U.K., and … Germany to confirm a weakening of monetary policy effectiveness over time with regards to unemployment and inflation. After …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242214
inflation when there is no perceived commitment to reduce the fiscal deficit. The model is based on a modified version of the … current consumption leads to an equal increase in inflation. The timing of this increase varies with the size of the deficit … inflation. Three policy conclusions are offered. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263970