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the world economy. This paper examines the possible impact of fiscal adjustment and productivity-enhancing structural … reforms on the Japanese and world economies. Simulation results indicate that these could reduce substantially Japan's fiscal … imbalance with only limited spillovers to the rest of the world. Specifically, faster productivity growth would help lower Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825976
This paper updates existing measures of the U.S. fiscal gap to include federal laws up to and including the mid-December 2010 federal fiscal stimulus. It then applies the methodology of generational accounting to establish how the burden of adjustment required to attain fiscal sustainability is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019573
Fiscal multipliers are important tools for macroeconomic projections and policy design. In many countries, little is known about the size of multipliers, as data availability limits the scope for empirical research. For these countries, we propose a simple method—dubbed the “bucket...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123878
The output effects of 2009 fiscal expansions have been hotly debated. But the discussion of fiscal multipliers is even more relevant now that several European countries have had to quickly retract their stimulus measures in an effort to regain market confidence. Using regime-switching VARs we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142067
Recent years have witnessed a change in the composition of capital flows to developing countries, and FDI and equity flows have been playing an increasing role. In this paper we discuss the challenges for international macroeconomics that these developments pose and characterize stylized facts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599542
This note documents and assesses the role of small financial centers in the international financial system using a newly-assembled dataset. It presents estimates of the foreign asset and liability positions for a number of the most important small financial centers, and places these into context...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519475
We examine whether the cross-country incidence and severity of the 2008-2009 global recession is systematically related to pre-crisis macroeconomic and financial factors. We find that the pre-crisis level of development, increases in the ratio of private credit to GDP, current account deficits,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646414