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From its early post-war catch-up phase, Germany’s formidable export engine has been its consistent driver of growth. But Germany has almost equally consistently run current account surpluses. Exports have powered the dynamic phases and helped emerge from stagnation. Volatile external...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142028
Belgium has effected a remarkable fiscal adjustment, best illustrated by the decline in its public debt. While benefiting from an appreciable decline in interest rates, most of the underlying consolidation reflected a considerable increase in the tax burden, one of the highest in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768647
by reducing real wages below levels allowed by technological growth, changes in the unemployment rate, and institutional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604960
that ended with the global financial crisis. Unemployment soared, the fiscal position deteriorated sharply, and funding … the last seven quarters, unemployment has reached high levels, and financing conditions remain tight for small firms. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242476
This 2014 Article IV Consultation highlights that economic growth in Spain has resumed, and unemployment is falling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244914
international experience of countries in the aftermath of financial crisis. The paper suggests Spain is likely to face a long period … of moderate growth (about 1½–2 percent) and high unemployment, but policy action—especially that directed toward … reducing structural unemployment and raising productivity—could lead to much better outcomes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245853
The U.S. labor force participation rate (LFPR) fell dramatically following the Great Recession and has yet to start recovering. A key question is how much of the post-2007 decline is reversible, something which is central to the policy debate. The key finding of this paper is that while around...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242381
We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and … measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and compare their effects on the unemployment rate in a standard macroeconomic … vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We find that aggregate uncertainty leads to an immediate increase in unemployment, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242392
The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. This paper creates a special version of GPM that includes the four largest Euro Area (EA) countries. The EA countries are more vulnerable to domestic and external demand shocks because...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242224
Explanations of the large current account deficits for the euro area periphery and the Baltics in the run up to the crisis revolve around two main factors: deteriorating export performance or demand driven booms. We add that there were important movements in transfers and net income balances....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242364