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Measuring External Risks for Peru: Insights from a Macroeconomic Model for a Small Open and Partially Dollarized Economy
Han, Fei - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
This paper quantifies the effects of external risks for Peru, with particular attention to two major external risks, China’s investment slowdown and the U.S. monetary policy tightening. In particular, a macroeconomic model for a small open and partially dollarized economy is developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142105
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The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles
Cashin, Paul; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Raissi, Mehdi - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
This paper analyzes spillovers from macroeconomic shocks in systemic economies (China, the Euro Area, and the United … developments in China than to shocks in the Euro Area or the United States, in line with the direction of evolving trade patterns … and the emergence of China as a key driver of the global economy. Outward spillovers from the GCC region and MENA oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790399
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Reaping the Benefits of Financial Globalization
Dell'Ariccia, Giovanni; Mauro, Paolo; Faria, André; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
Financial globalization has increased dramatically over the past three decades, particularly for advanced economies, while emerging market and developing countries experienced more moderate increases. Divergences across countries stem from different capital control regimes, and factors such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790496
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Rethinking the Governance of the International Monetary Fund
Mirakhor, Abbas; Zaidi, Iqbal Mehdi - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
This paper attempts to set out the principal issues that need to be resolved in formulating a proposal for quotas and voice reform in the IMF that could command broad support. Following John Rawls, we argue that "justice is the first virtue of social institutions," and we use his theory of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825790
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Out of the Box Thoughts About the International Financial Architecture
Eichengreen, Barry J. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
The Global Credit Crisis of 2008-09 has underscored the urgency of reforming the international financial architecture. While a number of short-term reforms are already in train, this paper contemplates more ambitious reforms of the international financial architecture that might be implemented...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528699
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Rising Income Inequality; Technology, o+L3904r Trade and Financial Globalization?
Papageorgiou, Chris; Lall, Subir; Jaumotte, Florence - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
We examine the relationship between trade and financial globalization and the rise in inequality in most countries in recent decades. We find technological progress as having a greater impact than globalization on inequality. The limited overall impact of globalization reflects two offsetting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263792
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China’s Demography and its Implications
Lee, Il Houng; Qingjun, Xu; Syed, Murtaza H. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
In coming decades, China will undergo a notable demographic transformation, with its old-age dependency ratio doubling … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China’s demographics should … and future policy choices. Other implications arising from China’s demography, including the growth model, the pension …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142029
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Growth Surprises and Synchronized Slowdowns in Emerging Markets––An Empirical Investigation
Fayad, Ghada; Perrelli, Roberto - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
Output growth has slowed in several emerging markets since 2011—a remarkable feature for a non-crisis period in EMs. Such synchronized slowdowns were largely unanticipated by scholars and forecasters alike. In this paper we attempt to shed light on the main drivers of growth surprises and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142037
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Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization: A Reappraisal with Focus on Asia
Duval, Romain A; Cheng, Kevin C.; Oh, Kum Hwa; Saraf, Richa - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
shocks in China. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142047
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After the Boom–Commodity Prices and Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean
Gruss, Bertrand - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
-than-expected growth in China represents a key downside risk. The results caution against trying to offset the current economic slowdown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142049