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Tests of German Resilience
Bornhorst, Fabian; Mody, Ashoka - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
From its early post-war catch-up phase, Germany’s formidable export engine has been its consistent driver of growth. But Germany has almost equally consistently run current account surpluses. Exports have powered the dynamic phases and helped emerge from stagnation. Volatile external...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142028
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Belgium; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2004
Belgium has effected a remarkable fiscal adjustment, best illustrated by the decline in its public debt. While benefiting from an appreciable decline in interest rates, most of the underlying consolidation reflected a considerable increase in the tax burden, one of the highest in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768647
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Do Active Labor Market Policies Increase Employment?
Estevão, Marcello M. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003
Using panel data for 15 industrial countries, active labor market policies (ALMPs) are shown to have raised employment rates in the business sector in the 1990s, after controlling for many institutions, country-specific effects, and economic variables. Among such policies, direct subsidies to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604960
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China’s Demography and its Implications
Lee, Il Houng; Qingjun, Xu; Syed, Murtaza H. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
In coming decades, China will undergo a notable demographic transformation, with its old-age dependency ratio doubling … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China’s demographics should … and future policy choices. Other implications arising from China’s demography, including the growth model, the pension …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142029
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Growth Surprises and Synchronized Slowdowns in Emerging Markets––An Empirical Investigation
Fayad, Ghada; Perrelli, Roberto - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
Output growth has slowed in several emerging markets since 2011—a remarkable feature for a non-crisis period in EMs. Such synchronized slowdowns were largely unanticipated by scholars and forecasters alike. In this paper we attempt to shed light on the main drivers of growth surprises and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142037
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Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization: A Reappraisal with Focus on Asia
Duval, Romain A; Cheng, Kevin C.; Oh, Kum Hwa; Saraf, Richa - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
shocks in China. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142047
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After the Boom–Commodity Prices and Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean
Gruss, Bertrand - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
-than-expected growth in China represents a key downside risk. The results caution against trying to offset the current economic slowdown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142049
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The Spillover Effects of a Downturn in China’s Real Estate Investment
Ahuja, Ashvin; Myrvoda, Alla - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
Real estate investment accounts for a quarter of total fixed asset investment (FAI) in China. The real estate sectorâ … process relies primarily on collateral, like in China. As a result, the impact on economic activity of a collapse in real …€™s trading partners. Using a two-region factor-augmented vector autoregression model that allows for interaction between China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142057
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Potential Growth in Emerging Asia
Anand, Rahul; Cheng, Kevin C.; Rehman, Sidra; Zhang, Longmei - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and … Vietnam) during 1993–2013. The main findings include: (i) both China and India have recently exhibited a slowdown in …;(iii) over the longer term, demographic factors will be much more supportive in India and some ASEAN economies than in China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142066
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Measuring External Risks for Peru: Insights from a Macroeconomic Model for a Small Open and Partially Dollarized Economy
Han, Fei - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
This paper quantifies the effects of external risks for Peru, with particular attention to two major external risks, China’s investment slowdown and the U.S. monetary policy tightening. In particular, a macroeconomic model for a small open and partially dollarized economy is developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142105