by reducing real wages below levels allowed by technological growth, changes in the unemployment rate, and institutional …

China is on the eve of a demographic shift that will have profound consequences on its economic and social landscape …, along with anecdotes of rapidly rising migrant wages and episodic labor shortages, has raised questions about whether China … labor shortage economy. Crossing this threshold will have far-reaching implications for both China and the rest of the world …

estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and … Vietnam) during 1993–2013. The main findings include: (i) both China and India have recently exhibited a slowdown in …;(iii) over the longer term, demographic factors will be much more supportive in India and some ASEAN economies than in China …

We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and … measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and compare their effects on the unemployment rate in a standard macroeconomic … vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We find that aggregate uncertainty leads to an immediate increase in unemployment, with …

significantly reduce poverty and unemployment. Growth averaged 3 percent over the last decade. It has been volatile because of the …