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The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the UK Economy
Denis, Stephanie; Kannan, Prakash - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
similar to that of the US both in terms of the shape and magnitude of the response. However, unemployment in the UK is less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790244
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A Multivariate Filter for Measuring Potential Output and the NAIRU Application to the Czech Republic
Benes, Jaromir; Papa M'B. P. N'Diaye - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2004
non accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) improves on univariate methods as the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264226
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Measuring a Roller Coaster; Evidenceon the Finnish Output Gap
Billmeier, Andreas - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2004
The output gap-which measures the deviation of actual output from its potential-is frequently used as an indicator of slack in an economy. This paper estimates the Finnish output gap using various empirical methods. It evaluates these methods against economic history and each other by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825681
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Alternative Methods of Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap; An Application to Sweden
Saxena, Sweta Chaman; Cerra, Valerie - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
This paper reviews a number of different methods that can be used to estimate potential output and the output gap. Measures of potential output and the output gap are useful to help identify the scope for sustainable noninflationary growth and to allow an assessment of the stance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605416
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Recent U.S. Labor Force Dynamics: Reversible or not?
Balakrishnan, Ravi; Dao, Mai; Sole, Juan; Zook, Jeremy - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
The U.S. labor force participation rate (LFPR) fell dramatically following the Great Recession and has yet to start recovering. A key question is how much of the post-2007 decline is reversible, something which is central to the policy debate. The key finding of this paper is that while around...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242381
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Uncertainty and Unemployment: The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels
Choi, Sangyup; Loungani, Prakash - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and … measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and compare their effects on the unemployment rate in a standard macroeconomic … vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We find that aggregate uncertainty leads to an immediate increase in unemployment, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242392
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Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth; Lessons From Jordan
Raissi, Mehdi; Mohaddes, Kamiar - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
-run relationships: an output equation as predicted by theory and an equation linking foreign and domestic inflation rates. It is shown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009401201
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Comparative Macroeconomic Dynamics in the Arab World; A Panel Var Approach
Kireyev, Alexei - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
The paper presents a comparative analysis of macroeconomic dynamics of 18 Arab countries based on a panel vector autogression estimation. Comparing growth performance, fiscal and current account developments in these countries, the study concludes that (1) in the short run, external and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825740
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Economic Growth and total Factor Productivity in Niger
Nachega, Jean-Claude; Fontaine, Thomson - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
This paper investigates empirically the sources of aggregate output growth and the determinants of total factor productivity (TFP) in Niger between 1963 and 2003. A growth accounting analysis indicates that the erosion in output per capita over the sample period is due to the negative growth of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826119
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Public Capital and Output Growth in Portugal; An Empirical Analysis
Ligthart, Johanna Elisabeth - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
The paper investigates the growth effects of public capital in Portugal using annual data for the period 1965-95. Both a production function and a vector autoregressive model are estimated. Public capital is shown to be a significant long-term determinant of output growth. The size of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826148