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After a short-lived slowdown in the immediate aftermath of the global financial crisis and a swift rebound, emerging markets (EM) are now entering a period of slower growth. In fact, growth is now lower than the post-crisis peak of 2010-11, as well as the rates seen in the decade before the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878427
This 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights that the Canadian economy strengthened in 2013 after a subdued performance in 2012, but the underlying growth has remained modest. Despite the depreciating exchange rate, non-energy exports remained well below the levels reached after earlier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244749
support growth. Structural policies to improve productivity in the economy would increasingly need to complement this policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245635
This study investigates the impact of the current financial crisis on Canada's potential GDP growth. Using a simple … accounting framework to decompose trend GDP growth into changes in capital, labor services and total factor productivity, we find …-term unemployment rate (which would raise equilibrium unemployment rates). However, over the medium term, we expect Canada's potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561074
This Selected Issues paper attempts to analyze the end-point problem and improve the quality of potential GDP estimates for Germany. It projects that Germany’s potential GDP growth will slow over the coming decade, mainly because of declining labor input. The paper focuses on a long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825173
growth from total factor productivity has been minor, while the high population growth poses a significant challenge to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825438
indicate that declines in factor inputs and productivity were both important determinants of the output fall. The contribution … of the productivity drop was critical, but smaller than previously reported. Possible causes of the reduction in … productivity are assessed using data on sub-national regions within Russia. Privatization and entry of private firms are found to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826009
This paper undertakes a cross-country analysis of productivity growth at both the aggregate and sectoral level. It … finds that Asia's remarkable output growth over the past 40 years reflected both high investment, and rapid productivity … encouraged resource shifts from low- to high-productivity sectors. Looking ahead, sustaining rapid growth requires meeting a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826110
-term potential estimates have risks on both sides: productivity gains and investment could be volatile, but determined reforms could … sustain strong productivity growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826268
is explained more by a decline in productivity rather than a lack of investment. Second, tourism has been a significant … contributor to higher growth (through both capital accumulation and productivity) and lower output volatility, and in many … are islands have limited growth. Policies aimed at improving productivity, further development of the tourism sector, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242282