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Measuring External Risks for Peru: Insights from a Macroeconomic Model for a Small Open and Partially Dollarized Economy
Han, Fei - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
This paper quantifies the effects of external risks for Peru, with particular attention to two major external risks, China’s investment slowdown and the U.S. monetary policy tightening. In particular, a macroeconomic model for a small open and partially dollarized economy is developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142105
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Yen Bloc or Yuan Bloc; An Analysis of Currency Arrangements in East Asia
Shirono, Kazuko - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
This paper examines the role of Japan against that of China in the exchange rate regime in East Asia in light of … growing interest in forming a currency union in the region. The analysis suggests that currency unions with China tend to … if China's relative presence continues to rise in the regional trade. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826046
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Real Effects of Common Currencies in East Asia
Shirono, Kazuko - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2007
Since the 1997 Asian currency crisis, new interest has emerged in the formation of a common currency area in East Asia. This paper provides estimates of trade and welfare effects of East Asian currency unions, using a micro-founded gravity model. Counter-factual experiments to assess the effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769256
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Growth Slowdowns and the Middle-Income Trap
Aiyar, Shekhar; Duval, Romain A; Puy, Damien; Wu, Yiqun; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
The “middle-income trap” is the phenomenon of hitherto rapidly growing economies stagnating at middle-income levels and failing to graduate into the ranks of high-income countries. In this study we examine the middle-income trap as a special case of growth slowdowns, which are identified as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790409
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Tunisia; 2008 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Tunisia
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2008
This 2008 Article IV Consultation highlights that Tunisia’s sound economic policies and pragmatic approach to structural reforms continue to bear fruit, as evidenced by strong growth and improved social indicators. Real GDP growth averaged 5 percent a year while the macroeconomic and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244286
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Islamic Republic of Iran; 2005 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Staff Statement; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive D...
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2006
Iran's 2005 Article IV Consultation highlights Fourth Five-Year Development Plan (FFYDP) and the Twenty-Year Vision. The country's real GDP growth reached 5½ percent a year on average, unemployment declined, and macroeconomic indicators improved significantly, supported by favorable oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244296
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The Solomon Islands; 2009 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Staff Statement; Supplement to the Staff Report; Public Information Notice; Statement by the Executive Director for...
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2009
This 2009 Article IV Consultation highlights that economic conditions in the Solomon Islands have weakened in 2009, given the effects of the global recession and a logging sector decline. Real GDP growth is projected at 0.4 percent in 2009, compared with 6.9 percent in 2008. On the positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244490
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Algeria; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2006
This Selected Issues paper for Algeria analyzes the potential economic impact of Algeria’s Association Agreement with the European Union (AAEU). The paper lays out the major elements of Algeria’s AAEU and makes a comparison with other AAEUs. It discusses the potential economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244528
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Indonesia; 2007 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Staff Statement; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Ind...
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2007
This 2007 Article IV Consultation highlights that Indonesia’s economic performance has been strong since the last Article IV Consultation. Supported by sound policies and a favorable external environment, output has grown strongly, inflation has stabilized, and international reserves have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244555
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Republic of Armenia; Second Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement, Request for Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, Modification of Performance Criteria, and Rephasing...
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2009
This paper discusses key findings of the Second Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) for Armenia. The authorities met all quantitative performance criteria for end-June and end-September, with the exception of the end-September fiscal balance. All structural benchmarks for end-June and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244576