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This paper takes stock of the evolution of the international monetary system over the last thousand years. Several points stand out from the analysis. One is the reluctance of governments to embrace radical changes in international monetary relations. Another is the conflict between external and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264089
Sudanese inflation dramatically fell in 2000. But just prior to the sharp decline, an export ban was placed on Sudanese livestock. Motivated by this clue, and in the absence of any reliable income or employment data, this paper systematically develops simultaneous models of the consumer price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825891
can be analyzed as a credibility problem if the government has only one policy instrument, money supply carried out by … solve the credibility problem. They involve printing money or nominal debt and either (1) cutting taxes, (2) buying real … these policy instruments. It commits to higher money supply in the future so that the private sector expects inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599394
money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non … policy decisions by providing a clearer narrative of the relative role of money in the interaction with other economic and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599686
Pakistan. A stylized inflation model is specified that includes standard monetary variables (money supply, credit to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604974
real money balances, the approach followed here focuses on the relationship between nominal variables and inflation. The … at the end of the sample. The estimates confirm the strong relationship between money and inflation when M1 is used, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605268
A New Keynesian model estimated for India yields valuable insights. Aggregate demand reacts to interest rate changes with a lag of at least three quarters, with inflation taking seven quarters to respond. Inflation is inertial and persistent when it sets in, irrespective of the source. Exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646425
The 2007 Article IV Consultation on the United Arab Emirates (UAE) examines the near- and medium-term outlook, inflation, and fiscal policy. The rapid expansion is supported by an outward-oriented development strategy and sustained high oil prices. Reforms are under way to strengthen the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244422
The Euro Area Policies’ 2007 Article IV Consultation reports that the economy is poised for a sustained upswing because of cyclical considerations and policies, which have had a forward-looking cast. The area’s external position and the real effective exchange rate of the euro are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245374
The purpose of this paper is to present a model that circumvents the requirement of explicitly setting a period in which the fiscal budget is to be balanced, yet implies that increases in the growth of public debt are bound to increase inflation when there is no perceived commitment to reduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263970