Showing 1 - 10 of 1,486
, openness to trade, and changes in employment protection--using a panel of 18 industrial countries over 1960-2000. Since most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769331
An influential strand of recent research has claimed that large governments in European countries explain their weaker long-term economic performance compared to the U.S. On the other hand, despite these alleged costs, large governments have been popular with electorates. This paper seeks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999968
should be broadened to include more explicitly the objective of raising employment rates to foster potential growth. The … market adjustment, and illustrates the benefits of a two-pronged strategy. The paper also examines employment effects of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005591211
Real unit labor costs (RULC) growth differentials between euro area members have persisted since EMU began and even widened out in the run-up to the crisis. This paper focuses on the causes underlying such dispersion. According to our empirical findings, persistent RULC growth differentials can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019597
sizable long-term gains in output and employment. Most of these gains accrue to the reforming country regardless of whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264078
Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been … remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s … observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790401
This paper examines the recent behavior of core inflation in the United States. We specify a simple Phillips curve … based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve’s target, and that labor …-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242402
are affected by the undershooting of the euro area inflation target. To shed light on this issue, we estimate an open …-economy, New Keynsian Phillips curve, in which we control for imported inflation. Regression results suggest that falling food and … energy prices have been the main disinflationary driver. But low core inflation in the euro area has also had a clear and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959481
against economic history and each other by a simulated out-of-sample forecasting exercise for Finnish CPI inflation. Only two … naïve prediction of no change in inflation-but do not improve upon a simple autoregressive forecast. The pronounced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825681
from 98 countries, we find strong evidence for cointegration between nominal exchange rates and monetary fundamentals. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263651