Showing 1 - 10 of 51
We examine the impact of uncertainty on employment dynamics. Alternative measures of uncertainty are constructed based on the survey of professional forecasters, and regressionbased forecasting models for GDP growth, inflation, S&P500 stock price index, and fuel prices. Our results indicate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123865
The paper reviews the “stylized facts” on economic growth gathered by Easterly and Levine in their 2001 joint paper and illustrates some of the points made on the basis of data from the IMF’s World Economic Outlook on real growth and per capita GDP since 1970. The data show that the growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825901
This paper examines access to business finance by Canadian small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and to housing finance by Canadian households (particularly non-prime borrowers) against the background of a fairly concentrated and protected banking industry. It finds access broadly adequate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769089
This paper shows that the behavior of entrepreneurs facing incomplete financial markets and risky investment can explain why growth accelerations in developing countries tend to be associated with current account improvements. The uninsurable risk of losing invested capital forces entrepreneurs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519499
This paper proposes a tractable Sudden Stop model to explain the main patterns in firm level data in a sample of Southeast Asian firms during the Asian crisis. The model, which features trend shocks and financial frictions, is able to generate the main patterns observed in the sample during and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646413
We explore optimal monetary and macroprudential policy rules for a small open economy. Delegating 'lean against the wind' squarely to macroprudential policy provides a more robust policy mix to shock uncertainty—(i) if macroprudential measures exist, there are no significant welfare gains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123819
This staff report on People’s Republic of China 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights macroeconomic developments … and outlook. China has maintained robust growth since the global crisis, but the heavy reliance on credit and investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244201
This Selected Issues paper examines application of fiscal framework alternatives to the case of Peru. Although growth has been at historical highs over the last decade, Peru still has an important infrastructure gap and a quarter of its population still lives in poverty. This paper applies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244249
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264263
Offshore use of the renminbi expanded rapidly in Hong Kong SAR as China sought to develop an international role for its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731929