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This Selected Issues Paper and Statistical Appendix for Niger are discussed. The Nigerien economic outlook has been improving since 1999. After a long period of decline in per capita income, growth accelerated through 2007, attaining an annual average of 4 percent, or about 1 percent in per...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245770
There is good reason and much evidence to suggest that the real exchange rate matters for economic growth, but why? The "Washington Consensus" (WC) view holds that real exchange rate misalignment implies macroeconomic imbalances that are themselves bad for growth. In contrast, Rodrik (2008)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519476
We estimate a unified measure of inclusive growth for emerging markets by integrating their economic growth performance and income distribution outcomes, using data over three decades. Country distributions are calibrated by combining PPP GDP per capita and income distribution from survey data....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242387
This Selected Issues paper discusses the policy response by a sample of central banks to the ongoing oil and food price shocks in South Africa, drawing some lessons, which can help put in context developments in the country. The paper discusses first- and second-round effects of “supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244349
This note analyzes the medium- and long-term prospects of the hydrocarbon sector as a source of growth. Substantial hydrocarbon and financial reserves implies a sizable upward shift in the sustainable expenditure path. Rather than suggesting a specific fiscal rule, four simple alternatives are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245295
determine savings, investment and growth. Investment is assumed to involve intermediation or other costs which may, in each … period, result in either of two stable equilibria for the savings rate. At the “good” equilibrium, savings and growth are … individual’s belief about the savings behavior of other agents in the economy. The model implies that fiscal policy or public …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263787
This paper examines the ability of alternative classes of growth models to explain the historical experience of the U.S. economy. The potential returns to the U.S. from raising its investment rate in terms of both the level and growth rate of future output are then quantified. The long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263880
Jappelli and Pagano (1994) argues that tightening the borrowing constraints in the mortgage markets promotes savings … savings and growth rates to fall. Therefore, for countries with scarce mortgage availability like those in the Middle East …, expanding the mortgage markets to some extent is conducive to savings and growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263983
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264269
We present a stylized real model of the Chinese economy with the objective of explaining two features: (1) domestic production is highly competitive in the sense that an accumulation of capital that raises the marginal product of labor elicits increases in employment and output rather than only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825815