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This paper seeks to draw lessons from the IMF’s experience in handling financial crises around the globe over the past ten years that are relevant to the challenges faced by countries in Latin America, especially in the wake of the recent crisis in Argentina. Experience suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824823
of excessive spreads. The result is largely explained by the substantial increase in exchange rate volatility during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826576
estimation finds these economic indicators to be significant for emerging market countries during the Mexican, Asian, and Russian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769104
This paper shows that a country’s vulnerability to contagious crises depends on the visible similarities between that country and other countries that are experiencing crises. A country is vulnerable to shifts in investor sentiment if it exhibits weaknesses in the same economic variables as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599208
We present a stylized framework which encompasses a variety of "balance sheet approaches" to currency crises that have been suggested in the literature, and analyze their policy implications. The common theme is that currency and maturity mismatches in private sector balance sheets constrain the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599651
This paper takes a step in empirically testing the implications of a number of theoretical models that attempt to highlight the dynamics behind currency crises. By focusing on countries with broadly disparate economic and political arrangements, the study attempts to determine the extent to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599757
Conceptual ambiguities and statistical weaknesses hamper the assessment of external competitiveness. The term competitiveness, while applied extensively, is often imprecisely defined, which can result in analytical errors and mistaken policy advice. Furthermore, aggregate statistical measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242314
This paper proposes a stochastic volatility model to measure sovereign financial distress. It examines how key European … sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads affect each other; specifically, the paper analyses the volatility structure of … explaining each other’s volatility while Germany also plays an important role. It is found that extreme bad news led to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142190
This Selected Issues paper for The Bahamas reports that the largest portion of tourism expenditure in The Bahamas comes from stayover visitors, and total tourism spending has been stagnant. The Bahamas is a small open economy highly dependent on tourism and the offshore financial sector. Private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252900
This paper investigates the determinants of tourism demand in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union. We estimate the demand function in a panel setting using annual data from 1979 to 2005. Results show that tourism arrivals are significantly affected by economic developments in the source...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769110