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Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts; Evidence from a Large International Panel
Dovern, Jonas; Fritsche, Ulrich; Loungani, Prakash; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
We examine the behavior of forecasts for real GDP growth using a large panel of individual forecasts from 30 advanced and emerging economies during 1989–2010. Our main findings are as follows. First, our evidence does not support the validity of the sticky information model (Mankiw and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242185
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Effectiveness of Capital Outflow Restrictions
Saborowski, Christian; Sanya, Sarah; Weisfeld, Hans; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
This paper examines the effectiveness of capital outflow restrictions in a sample of 37 emerging market economies during the period 1995-2010, using a panel vector autoregression approach with interaction terms. Specifically, it examines whether a tightening of outflow restrictions helps reduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790319
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What is Behind Latin America’s Declining Income Inequality?
Tsounta, Evridiki; Osueke, Anayochukwu - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
Income inequality in Latin America has declined during the last decade, in contrast to the experience in many other emerging and developed regions. However, Latin America remains the most unequal region in the world. This study documents the declining trend in income inequality in Latin America...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142048
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The Transmission of Financial Stress From Advanced to Emerging Economies
Danninger, Stephan; Tytell, Irina; Balakrishnan, Ravi; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
This paper studies how financial stress is transmitted from advanced to emerging economies, using a new financial stress index for emerging economies. An episode of financial stress is defined as a period when the financial system's ability to intermediate may be impaired. Previous financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528685
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Discrepancies in Bilateral Trade Statistics: The Case of China
Arora, Vivek B.; Kochhar, Kalpana - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 1995
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826702
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Effects of Capital Flow Liberalization; What is the Evidence from Recent Experiences of Emerging Market Economies?
Sedik, Tahsin Saadi; Sun, Tao - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
application of these findings, the paper explores the possible effects of liberalization on China by applying the coefficients of … explanatory variables to the corresponding variables of China in 2012–16. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242176
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Chronicle of a Decline Foretold; Has China Reached the Lewis Turning Point?
Das, Mitali; N'Diaye, Papa M - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
China is on the eve of a demographic shift that will have profound consequences on its economic and social landscape …, along with anecdotes of rapidly rising migrant wages and episodic labor shortages, has raised questions about whether China … labor shortage economy. Crossing this threshold will have far-reaching implications for both China and the rest of the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242230
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Growing (Un)equal: Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality in China and BRIC+
Cevik, Serhan; Correa-Caro, Carolina - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
This paper investigates the empirical characteristics of income inequality in China and a panel of BRIC+ countries over …€”an inverted Ushaped relationship between income inequality and economic development—in China and the panel of BRIC+ countries …. In the case of China, the empirical results indicate that government spending and taxation have opposing effects on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242236
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Investment-Led Growth in China; Global Spillovers
Ahuja, Ashvin; Nabar, Malhar - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers … from an investment slowdown in China. It finds that a one percentage point slowdown in investment in China is associated … vulnerable to an investment slowdown in China. The spillover effects also register strongly across a range of macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242248
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The Elusive Quest for Inclusive Growth; Growth, Poverty, and Inequality in Asia
Balakrishnan, Ravi; Steinberg, Chad; Syed, Murtaza H. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
This paper assesses how pro-poor and inclusive Asia’s recent growth has been, and what factors have been driving these outcomes. It finds that while poverty has fallen across the region over the last two decades, inequality has increased, dampening the impact of growth on poverty reduction. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242249