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This Selected Issues paper attempts to analyze the end-point problem and improve the quality of potential GDP estimates for Germany. It projects that Germany’s potential GDP growth will slow over the coming decade, mainly because of declining labor input. The paper focuses on a long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825173
The Chinese pension system is highly fragmented and decentralized, with governance standards, pension fund management practices, their regulation and supervision varying considerably both across the funded components of the Chinese pension system and across provinces. This paper describes the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008540915
Emerging economies are characterized by higher consumption and real wage variability relative to output and a strongly countercyclical current account. A real business cycle model of a small open economy that embeds a Mortensen-Pissarides type of search-matching frictions and countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242182
In this paper we use a general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents to assess the macroeconomic and welfare …-crisis level, postponing debt stabilization for two decades would entail a permanent output loss of about 17 percent and a welfare … loss of almost 7 percent of lifetime consumption. Moreover, the long-run welfare gains from the adjustment would more than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654159
limited. We develop a simple welfare-based measure that captures how far countries are from the ideal of perfect risk sharing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559272
and other aggregates, and derive a second order approximation to welfare. Numerical calibrations show broad CPI targeting … to be welfare-superior to alternative policy rules once the variance of food price shocks is sufficiently large as in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560422
welfare within an overlapping generations model. More precise information about idiosyncratic production shocks has ambiguous … effects on technological progress and welfare, which depend critically on the risk sharing capacity of the economy's financial … allocation and creates a negative uncertainty-related welfare effect, at the same time as it accelerates technological progress …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825975
matches the second moments of key variables well. Welfare analysis suggests that dollarization is preferable to alternative … regimes because it removes currency premium volatility. However, a currency board can match dollarization on welfare grounds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826178
paper introduces the concept of the dynastic general equilibrium value of life to measure welfare gains from the increase in … life expectancy. A calibration study finds sizable welfare gains, but these gains hardly mitigate the large inequality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826651
reduces domestic welfare in the short run because the temporary gains from higher productivity do not compensate domestic … productivity-enhancing public infrastructures and utility-enhancing public consumption. From the modeling point of view, the paper … increase, while foreign residents suffer short-run welfare losses but benefit from welfare gains in the long run. This analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769025