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Output gap estimates are subject to a wide range of uncertainty owing to data revisions and the difficulty in distinguishing between cycle and trend in real time. This is important given the central role in monetary policy of assessments of economic activity relative to capacity. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011163120
We examine corporate sector vulnerabilities in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru. First, we identify stylized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242251
This Selected Issues paper for Chile describes the postcrisis recovery experience. The recovery from the 2008–2009 … wedge-distortions related to the consumption leisure decision helped support the recovery. In Chile, the growth generated by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243850
The Slovak Republic’s 2005 Article IV Consultation reports that sound macroeconomic management and a wide range of fundamental structural reforms are supporting nominal convergence with European Union norms. Real GDP growth accelerated to 6 percent in 2005, driven by an improvement in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244180
This 2008 Article IV Consultation highlights that the United Kingdom’s economic growth was above trend in 2006 and 2007. In terms of expenditure, the expansion was largely driven by private consumption, on the heels of strong employment, steady real wage and living standards growth, and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244220
This paper provides three policy lessons to take full advantage of the opportunity afforded by EU funds. The main features of the global integrated monetary and fiscal (GIMF) model and how it was modified to account for income convergence are discussed. The impact of EU funds as exhibited in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244276
This Selected Issues paper for Indonesia uses a small structural macroeconomics model of the Indonesian economy to analyze the inflation outlook and monetary policy challenges. The Bank of Indonesia (BI) introduced its Inflation Targeting Framework in July 2005 with the goal to reduce inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244290
This 2007 Article IV Consultation highlights that boom in private consumption in Iceland was facilitated by easing household credit conditions, tax cuts, rapidly rising housing and equity wealth, and an appreciating real exchange rate. As a result, the output gap peaked at over 5 percent in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244341
This Selected Issues paper examines the acceleration of inflation over the past year in Chile, identifying domestic … shocks to food and energy prices as main drivers. The paper uses the Jeanne-Rancière model to calculate Chile’s optimal ratio … of international reserves to GDP. It analyzes the stabilization properties of Chile’s macroeconomic framework and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244342
This Selected Issues paper discusses the policy response by a sample of central banks to the ongoing oil and food price shocks in South Africa, drawing some lessons, which can help put in context developments in the country. The paper discusses first- and second-round effects of “supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244349