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This Selected Issues paper aims at discussing the impact of the oil windfall on Chad, with a focus on growth, poverty, competitiveness, and fiscal policy challenges posed by the oil revenue outlook. The paper discusses the reforms needed to remove structural factors that constraints the non-oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245496
This paper constructs new business cycle indices for Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Mexico based on common dynamic factors extracted from a comprehensive set of sectoral output, external data, and fiscal and financial variables spanning over a century. The constructed indices are used to derive a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264082
This Selected Issues paper analyzes macroeconomic fluctuations in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU). The paper describes data, along with the estimation technique used to ensure stationarity of the data. The empirical regularities of macroeconomic fluctuations in the ECCU are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825356
This paper evaluates the performance of Consensus Forecasts of GDP growth for industrialized and developing countries from 1989 to 1998. The questions addressed are (1) How do forecast errors differ across industrialized and developing countries? (2) How well do forecasters predict recessions?...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599600
Bradford DeLong and Dani Rodrik have argued that reforms in India cannot be credited with higher growth because the growth rate crossed the 5 percent mark in the 1980s, well before the launch of the July 1991 reforms. This is a wrong reading of the Indian experience for two reasons. First,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599677
. Ongoing activities include Islamic banking, sukuk issuances (to finance infrastructure projects), Takaful (insurance), and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959474
This paper discusses findings of the Financial System Stability Assessment for Georgia. Georgia has weathered several shocks, but still faces a number of important risks. The economy has withstood well the conflict with Russia, the global financial crisis, and domestic political uncertainty....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244303
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244338
The Belgian insurance industry was adversely affected by the global financial crisis and continued to confront … in updating the insurance regulatory regime and supervisory practice. The updated regulatory framework has a high level … of observance with the Insurance Core Principles (ICPs), supported by robust prudential supervision. The authorities are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244392
The 2012 Article IV Consultation with France discusses the financial and economic conditions of the country. Although France weathered the 2008 financial and subsequent euro area crises relatively well compared with other advanced countries, its recovery has been sluggish. France has become a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244581