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Emerging Markets in Transition: Growth Prospects and Challenges

Cubeddu, Luis M.; Culiuc, Alexander; Fayad, Ghada; Gao, Yuan - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014

After a short-lived slowdown in the immediate aftermath of the global financial crisis and a swift rebound, emerging markets (EM) are now entering a period of slower growth. In fact, growth is now lower than the post-crisis peak of 2010-11, as well as the rates seen in the decade before the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878427

Demand Patterns in France, Germany, and Belgium: Can We Explain the Differences?

Lebrun, Igor; Ruiz, Esther Pérez - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014

The need to revive Euro area growth highlights the importance of the evolution of domestic and external demand in the … core. This paper puts recent demand patterns in France, Germany, and Belgium into historical perspective. We find that …-specific factors matter in some cases, demand patterns in these countries are largely driven by common determinants. Third …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959463

Rebalancing in the Euro Area and Cyclicality of Current Account Adjustments

Tressel, Thierry; Wang, Shengzu - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014

dependent on external demand from the rest of world. Current account adjustments have taken place, reflecting structural changes … ahead, relying only on relative price adjustments (which adversely affects demand) to rebalance the euro area could prove …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959477

People's Republic of China; 2013 Article IV Consultation

International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2013

This staff report on Peopleâ€™s Republic of China 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights macroeconomic developments and outlook. China has maintained robust growth since the global crisis, but the heavy reliance on credit and investment to sustain activity is raising vulnerabilities. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244201

Turkey: Staff Report for the 2013 Article IV Consultation

International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2013

rotation back to domestic demand-led growth, the current account deficit is widening again, while inflation remains above …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244217

Chile; 2013 Article IV Consultation

International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2013

The staff reports for the 2013 Article IV Consultation on the Chile discuss the strong and inclusive growth over the medium term. Technocratic, rules-based, and transparent policy management; monetary policy under a floating exchange rate undertaken by a credible central bank; and prudent fiscal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244359

Japan: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; and Press Release

International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2014

KEY ISSUES Abenomics is gaining traction, but progress across the three arrows has been uneven and medium-term risks remain substantial. Inflation has risen, a consumption tax increase has been implemented, and there are signs of a transition to private-led growth. However, structural reforms...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244783

Norway; 2013 Article IV Consultation

International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2013

This 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights that Norwegian economy has been performing well, with mainland GDP growing steadily. However, the continuing buildup of assets in the sovereign wealth fund and the increasing share of the mainland economy that is supplying goods and services to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245796

On the Sources of Oil Price Fluctuations

Unalmis, Deren; Unalmis, Ibrahim; Unsal, D. Filiz - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009

and their distinct effects. Kilian (2009) analyzes the effects of an oil supply shock, an aggregate demand shock, and a … precautionary oil demand shock. The paper's aim is to model macroeconomic consequences of these shocks within a new Keynesian DSGE … framework. It models a small open economy and the rest of the world together to discover both accompanying effects of oil price …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561072

The U.S. Manufacturing Recovery: Uptick or Renaissance?

Celasun, Oya; Bella, Gabriel Di; Mahedy, Tim; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014

The notable rebound of U.S. manufacturing activity following the Great Recession has raised the question of whether the sector might be experiencing a renaissance. Using panel regressions, we find that a depreciating real exchange rate, an increasing spread in natural gas prices between the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790239