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Over the past two years, the IMF staff has been developing a new multicountry macroeconomic model called the Global Economy Model (GEM). This paper explains why such a model is needed, how GEM differs from its predecessor model, and how the new features of the model can improve the IMF’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590952
explain the dynamics of the term structure of interest rates, and the expectations of the impact on macroeconomic variables of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019574
Many central banks target an inflation rate near two percent. This essay argues that policymakers would do better to … target four percent inflation. A four percent target would ease the constraints on monetary policy arising from the zero … cost, because four percent inflation does not harm an economy significantly. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790372
variables move over time and analyzes how they influence macroeconomic variables such as economic growth, inflation, savings and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123847
The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis and international economic research. Using a 5-region version of the GIMF, this paper illustrates the model’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242434
This Selected Issues paper estimates both Guatemala’s potential output and output gap using a wide range of econometric techniques. The analysis suggests that Guatemala’s potential output growth is about 3.5 percent for the whole sample period and that the output gap is almost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243930
policy has a strong and statistically significant impact on broad money, non-oil activity, and inflation in the GCC region …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878414
Over the past decade policy makers in Latin America have adopted a number of macroprudential instruments to manage the procyclicality of bank credit dynamics to the private sector and contain systemic risk. Reserve requirements, in particular, have been actively employed. Despite their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878415
of food inflation in informing inflation expectations and wage setting. Analysis suggests that in order to durably reduce …Indian food and fuel inflation has remained high for several years, and second-round effects on core inflation are … model of the Indian economy, which incorporates pass-through from headline inflation to core inflation. The results indicate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959475
This technical note examines the macroprudential policy framework in the Czech Republic. The Czech National Bank (CNB) has been actively developing its macroprudential policy framework for some time, including most recently the establishment of a separate Financial Stability Department. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244175