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Over the past two years, the IMF staff has been developing a new multicountry macroeconomic model called the Global Economy Model (GEM). This paper explains why such a model is needed, how GEM differs from its predecessor model, and how the new features of the model can improve the IMF’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590952
This paper assesses the dynamics of the term structure of interest rates in the United States in light of the financial crisis in 2007-10. In particular, this paper assesses the dynamics of the term structure of U.S. Treasury security yields in light of economic and financial events and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019574
This paper examines the long-run relationship between consumer price index industrial workers (CPI-IW) inflation and …, there is a negative long-run relationship between inflation and economic growth in India. We also find statistically …-significant inflation-growth threshold effects in the case of states with persistently-elevated inflation rates of above 5.5 percent. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142122
How does access to credit impact consumption volatility? Theory and evidence from advanced economies suggests that greater household access to finance smooths consumption. Evidence from emerging markets, where consumption is usually more volatile than income, indicates that financial reform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790416
inflation, unemployment, government deficit, and GDP growth into a single indicator. In contrast to other indexes, the EPI does …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990724
policy has a strong and statistically significant impact on broad money, non-oil activity, and inflation in the GCC region …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878414
Over the past decade policy makers in Latin America have adopted a number of macroprudential instruments to manage the procyclicality of bank credit dynamics to the private sector and contain systemic risk. Reserve requirements, in particular, have been actively employed. Despite their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878415
We study whether clarity of central bank inflation reports affects return volatility in financial markets. We measure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959473
Indian food and fuel inflation has remained high for several years, and second-round effects on core inflation are … model of the Indian economy, which incorporates pass-through from headline inflation to core inflation. The results indicate … that India's inflation is highly inertial and persistent. Due to second-round effects, the gap between headline inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959475
are affected by the undershooting of the euro area inflation target. To shed light on this issue, we estimate an open …-economy, New Keynsian Phillips curve, in which we control for imported inflation. Regression results suggest that falling food and … energy prices have been the main disinflationary driver. But low core inflation in the euro area has also had a clear and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959481