Showing 1 - 10 of 474
This Selected Issues paper attempts to analyze the end-point problem and improve the quality of potential GDP estimates for Germany. It projects that Germany’s potential GDP growth will slow over the coming decade, mainly because of declining labor input. The paper focuses on a long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825173
Emerging economies are characterized by higher consumption and real wage variability relative to output and a strongly countercyclical current account. A real business cycle model of a small open economy that embeds a Mortensen-Pissarides type of search-matching frictions and countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242182
Traditionally, shocks to total factor productivity (TFP) are considered exogenous and the employment response depends … reductions in TFP growth. These results have important policy implications, including that low productivity growth in some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242298
Labor productivity levels in Bulgaria lag well behind that in the EU, weighing on the convergence process. Stronger … productivity growth would allow Bulgaria to close the income gap with the EU average more quickly and to alleviate the structural … problems in its labor market, reflected in its high long–term and youth unemployment. Our analysis of the drivers of labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242306
This paper estimates potential growth in the Philippines using different methodologies, and discusses growth prospects for the medium term. Several approaches can be used to estimate potential growth. It also describes a forecasting and monetary policy analysis system (FPAS) model. Using the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243322
the features that hamper job growth, investment, and productivity growth. This paper analyzes the impact of Basel III …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243347
This Selected Issues paper examines fiscal policy implications for labor market and economic diversification in Botswana. The IMF report analyzes that large public employment significantly affect labor market outcomes in middle-income countries, including Botswana. It is noted that reforms aimed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243359
Based on the economic literature, various policy measures and institutions in the product and labor markets that increase growth and employment are studied. From a cross-country approach, this study finds a significant relationship between Vertical Fiscal Imbalances (VFIs) and fiscal performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244125
This paper describes determinants of Japan’s productivity growth, reform outputs, and speculation on future potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245231
generates two main predictions: long-run unemployment increases with (i) a fall in long-run productivity growth and (ii) a rise …We propose a theory of low-frequency movements in unemployment based on asymmetric real wage rigidities. The theory … in the variance of productivity growth. Evidence based on U.S. time series and on an international panel strongly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727811