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This paper aims to assess the economic impact of the IMF’s support through its facilities for low-income countries. It relies on two complementary econometric analyses: the first investigates the longer-term impact of IMF engagement—primarily through successive medium-term programs under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790497
, and adverse shocks in both source and recipient economies. We exploit a novel, rich panel data set, covering bilateral … negatively correlated with the business cycle in recipient countries, and increase in response to adverse exogenous shocks, such … conditions in the source province. Nevertheless, in the presence of similar negative shocks to both source and recipient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142103
Amid renewed crisis, falling tax revenues, and rising debt, Ukraine faces serious fiscal consolidation needs. Durable fiscal adjustment can support economic confidence and rebuild buffers but what is its overall impact on growth? How effective are revenue versus spending instruments? Does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242375
In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824917
This Selected Issues paper reviews the developments, issues, and prospects of the petroleum sector of Kazakhstan, and analyzes the recent strong economic growth, the links between the oil and the non-oil sector, and assesses the contribution of each sector. It explores the trade policy options...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825202
This 2004 Article IV Consultation highlights that the macroeconomic performance of United Arab Emirates is estimated to have been strong in 2003, reflecting favorable developments in the oil market, higher oil production, and prices. Non Hydrocarbon real GDP growth is estimated to have remained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825324
In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825380
This paper investigates the likely implications of declining oil production on Yemen's equilibrium exchange rate, and discusses policy options to ensure a smooth transition to a nonoil economy. The empirical results suggest that, as oil production and foreign exchange earnings fall, the Yemeni...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825640
Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825666
electoral price cycles in gasoline markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826438