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Common and Idiosyncratic Components in Real Output; Further International Evidence
Simone, Francisco Nadal-De - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2002
This paper uses the classical (level) definition of business cycles to analyze the characteristics-duration, amplitude, steepness, and cumulative output movements-of the real GDP series of France, Germany, Italy, the rest of the euro area, and the United States. An index of concordance and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263734
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The Perils of Tax Smoothing; Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output
Tanner, Evan; Carey, Kevin Joseph - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
If permanent output is uncertain, tax smoothing can be perilous: both debt levels and tax rates are difficult to stabilize and may drift upwards. One practical remedy would be to target the debt. However, our simulations confirm that such a policy would require undesirably volatile fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264166
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How Different is the Cyclical Behavior of Home Production Across Countries?
Kose, M. Ayhan; Blankenau, William - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
This paper studies stylized business cycle properties of household production in four industrialized countries (Canada … household production sector. We use the model to generate data on home output, hours worked in the home sector, and hours spent … variables are generally less persistent than market variables, and cross-country correlations related to home production tend to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825641
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Convergence of Per Capita Output Levels Across Regions of Bangladesh, 1982-97
Hossain, Md. Akhtar - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
This paper has examined the phenomenon of convergence of per capita output levels across regions of Bangladesh during 1982–97. The main finding is that most of the regions of Bangladesh experienced strong convergence of per capita output levels during 1982–91. There are two other findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825646
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Measuring a Roller Coaster; Evidenceon the Finnish Output Gap
Billmeier, Andreas - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2004
The output gap-which measures the deviation of actual output from its potential-is frequently used as an indicator of slack in an economy. This paper estimates the Finnish output gap using various empirical methods. It evaluates these methods against economic history and each other by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825681
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Ghostbusting; Which Output Gap Measure Really Matters?
Billmeier, Andreas - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2004
This paper investigates various output gap measures in a simple inflation forecasting framework. Reflecting the cyclical position of an economy, an (unobservable) output gap has important implications for economic analysis. I construct and compare common output gap measures for five European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826587
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How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles?
Kose, M. Ayhan; Prasad, Eswar; Terrones, Marco - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003
This paper examines the impact of rising trade and financial integration on international business cycle comovement among a large group of industrial and developing countries. The results provide at best limited support for the conventional wisdom that globalization has increased the degree of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769009
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Who is Still Haunted by the Specter of Communism? Explaining Relative Output Contractions Under Transition
Elborgh-Woytek, Katrin; Berengaut, Julian - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
The paper analyzes the initial output decline in transition economies by estimating a crosssection model stressing two major factors-conflicts and the legacies of the Soviet period. We link the Soviet legacies in place at the outset of the transition to the subsequent path for the development of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769029
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What Causes Firms to Hide Output? the Determinants of Informality
Inchauste, Gabriela; Gradstein, Mark; Dabla-Norris, Era - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
In many developing countries, a significant part of economic activity takes place in the informal sector. Earlier work has examined the determinants of the size of the informal sector, focusing separately on factors such as tax and regulation burden, financial market development, and the quality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769293
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A Multi-Industry Model of Growth with Financing Constraints
Ilyina, Anna; Samaniego, Roberto M. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
This paper develops a multi-industry growth model in which firms require external funds to conduct productivity-enhancing R&D. The cost of research is industry-specific. The tightness of financing constraints depends on the level of financial development and on industry characteristics. Over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528634