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reliant on economic and corporate fundamentals in their pricing. Using a model that draws on international asset pricing and …€™s stock markets, compared to their G-7 counterparts, beyond the identified systematic factors and local fundamentals. We also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142146
The availability of financial instruments related to indices that track global financial conditions and risk appetite can potentially offer countries alternative options to insure against external shocks. This paper shows that while these instruments can explain much of the in-sample variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009203536
This paper examines the comovement in emerging market bond returns and disentangles the influence of external and domestic factors. The conceptual framework, set in the context of asset allocation, allows us to describe the channels through which shocks originating in a particular emerging or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561082
Theory predicts that a nation's stochastic intertemporal budget constraint is satisfied if net exports (NX) and net foreign assets (NFA) satisfy an error-correction specification with a residual integrated of any finite order. We test this hypothesis using data for 21 industrial and 29 emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519487
This paper estimates an empirical nonstationary panel regression model that tests long-run consumption risk sharing across a sample of OECD and emerging market (EM) countries. This is in contrast to the existing literature on consumption risk sharing, which is mainly about risks at business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008470399
The recent financial crisis raises important issues about the transmission of financial shocks across borders. In this paper, a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model is constructed to assess the relevance of international spillovers following a historical slowdown in U.S. equity prices. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604825
This paper examines equilibrium price relationships and price discovery between credit defaul swap (CDS), bond, and equity markets for emerging market sovereign issuers. Findings suggest that CDS and bond spreads converge despite various pressures that arise in the market. In most countries,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605007
. Some have attributed the fall to improved economic fundamentals while others to ample global liquidity. The paper models … spreads and attempts to empirically distinguish between the two factors. The results indicate that fundamentals, as embedded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605159
We document that (i) although private investment growth in emerging markets has decelerated in recent years, it came down from cyclical highs and remains close to pre-crisis trends; and (ii) investment-to-output ratios generally remain close to or above historical averages. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242322
The unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) pursued by the advanced economies (AEs) have posed macroeconomic challenges for the emerging market economies (EMEs) through volatile capital flows and exchange rates. AE central banks need to acknowledge and appreciate the spillovers resulting from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790334