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sample of four transition economies and finds that exchange rates tend to return faster to their Hodrick … central banks should not be overly concerned with short-run volatility of their national exchange rates, given the self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599329
Currency option implied volatility predicts more efficiently exchange rate volatility for the Polish zloty relative to … GARCH model shows a positive impact of the introduction of the Euro on exchange rate volatility for the Polish zloty … (negative for the Czech koruna), related to its larger exposure to external shocks. For countries in transition to Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248136
Since beginning economic transition, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Poland, and Slovenia have—with much success …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264251
The paper investigates the determinants of foreign currency borrowing by the private sector in the new member states of the European Union. We find that striking differences in patterns of foreign currency borrowing between countries are explained by the loan-to-deposit ratios, openness, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825762
The paper reviews key macroeconomic challenges with EU accession in Southeastern Europe (SEE). Most of the countries in the region are years away from EU accession and need substantial progress to meet the key macroeconomic criteria-the establishment of a functioning market economy and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768897
have driven movements in equilibrium real exchange rates in the Baltics since the start of the transition process. In the … earlier years of transition, price liberalization, increased demand for services and other nontradables, and shifts in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005591344
Estimation and simulation of sustainable real exchange rates in some of the new EU accession countries point to potential difficulties in sustaining the ERM2 regime if entered too soon and with weak policies. According to the estimates, the Czech, Hungarian, and Polish currencies were overvalued...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599488
) have also been generally favorable. Can CBAs serve these transition countries well all the way up to the adoption of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605518
Countries that trade more with each other exhibit higher business cycle correlation. This paper examines the mechanisms underlying this relationship using a large cross-country industry-level panel dataset of manufacturing production and trade. We show that sector pairs that experience more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528677
This paper provides a selective overview of nonlinear exchange rate models recently proposed in the literature and assesses their contribution to understanding exchange rate behavior. Two key questions are examined. The first question is whether nonlinear autoregressive models of real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825647