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Measuring External Risks for Peru: Insights from a Macroeconomic Model for a Small Open and Partially Dollarized Economy
Han, Fei - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
This paper quantifies the effects of external risks for Peru, with particular attention to two major external risks, China’s investment slowdown and the U.S. monetary policy tightening. In particular, a macroeconomic model for a small open and partially dollarized economy is developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142105
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Official Demand for U.S. Debt: Implications for U.S. Real Interest Rates
Kaminska, Iryna; Zinna, Gabriele - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
By constructing and estimating a structural arbitrage-free model of demand pressures on US real rates, we find that recent purchases of US government debt securities by the Fed and foreign officials have significantly affected the level and the dynamics of US real rates. In particular, by 2008,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790349
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The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles
Cashin, Paul; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Raissi, Mehdi - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
This paper analyzes spillovers from macroeconomic shocks in systemic economies (China, the Euro Area, and the United … developments in China than to shocks in the Euro Area or the United States, in line with the direction of evolving trade patterns … and the emergence of China as a key driver of the global economy. Outward spillovers from the GCC region and MENA oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790399
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Tunisia; 2008 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Tunisia
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2008
This 2008 Article IV Consultation highlights that Tunisia’s sound economic policies and pragmatic approach to structural reforms continue to bear fruit, as evidenced by strong growth and improved social indicators. Real GDP growth averaged 5 percent a year while the macroeconomic and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244286
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Islamic Republic of Iran; 2005 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Staff Statement; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive D...
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2006
Iran's 2005 Article IV Consultation highlights Fourth Five-Year Development Plan (FFYDP) and the Twenty-Year Vision. The country's real GDP growth reached 5½ percent a year on average, unemployment declined, and macroeconomic indicators improved significantly, supported by favorable oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244296
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The Solomon Islands; 2009 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Staff Statement; Supplement to the Staff Report; Public Information Notice; Statement by the Executive Director for...
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2009
This 2009 Article IV Consultation highlights that economic conditions in the Solomon Islands have weakened in 2009, given the effects of the global recession and a logging sector decline. Real GDP growth is projected at 0.4 percent in 2009, compared with 6.9 percent in 2008. On the positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244490
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Algeria; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2006
This Selected Issues paper for Algeria analyzes the potential economic impact of Algeria’s Association Agreement with the European Union (AAEU). The paper lays out the major elements of Algeria’s AAEU and makes a comparison with other AAEUs. It discusses the potential economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244528
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Indonesia; 2007 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Staff Statement; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Ind...
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2007
This 2007 Article IV Consultation highlights that Indonesia’s economic performance has been strong since the last Article IV Consultation. Supported by sound policies and a favorable external environment, output has grown strongly, inflation has stabilized, and international reserves have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244555
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Republic of Armenia; Second Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement, Request for Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, Modification of Performance Criteria, and Rephasing...
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2009
This paper discusses key findings of the Second Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) for Armenia. The authorities met all quantitative performance criteria for end-June and end-September, with the exception of the end-September fiscal balance. All structural benchmarks for end-June and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244576
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Myanmar; 2013 Article IV Consultation and First Review Under the Staff-Monitored Program
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2013
This 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights that recent economic developments in Myanmar have been positive. Growth is estimated to have risen to 6½ percent in FY2012/13 (April–May), driven by gas production, construction and services while inflation climbed to 4.7 percent in March...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244604